Two oil tankers have been attacked in the Gulf of Oman. The US have accused Iran of the attacks, which Iran dispute.
In the mean time, the UK have joined the US in this accusation... except for Jeremy Corbyn who has questioned whether there is credible evidence.
What is the evidence to support and contradict the accusation that Iran is responsible for the attacks? Is there any evidence that the attack was perpetrated by, or within the capabilities of, another party? Regardless of who was responsible, for what reasons would someone want to attack commercial shipping in this area?
The Gulf is heating up again unfortunately. Iraq was instructive on the political side, with the precedent of "intelligence and facts being fixed around the policy" regardless the political popularity.
And on the military side I'm inclined to believe that the British military viewed Iraq much like the Canadian military, who "for a long time, [...] pushed really hard [to] be part of a full-blown boots-on-the-ground Iraq invasion"
Obviously Iraq and Iran aren't completely the same, not least of which being the relative strength of opposition, but neither are they completely different either. Any informed speculation on if and/or how it might shake out?
