Sugar Daddy or Boyfriend?

Josh is a reborn virgin at his release; Lisa shocks Stan with a big request; Britney's confession stuns her family; Daonte drops big bucks when he picks up his fiancée, Nicolle.

Show: Love After Lockup

Air date: June 25, 2021

Cheap Thrills & Big Dills

An ex-guard awaits her forbidden lover's prison release; Rachel's bad boy obsession worries her friends; Daonte's revelation stuns his mom; Britney keeps her inmate boyfriend a secret; Stan fears his prison girlfriend may not look like her pictures.

Show: Love After Lockup

Air date: June 18, 2021

How do you do fellow apes,

Here's my first DD on WSB. Hopefully the mods don't take it down. I will keep it as simple as I can so that you smooth brains can understand.

First we need to talk about another WSB darling: PLTR.

As you can see on Feb 18, the lockup date for PLTR expired, which meant that insiders holding on to their shares could finally sell. From the chart, you can see how the stock kept dipping as we approached the expiration date.

PLTR

Now look at this graph, notice any difference? Exactly. SOFI is also dipping because today, 06/28, is the lockup expiration date for SOFI as well.

SOFI

Now, after the lockup date expired for PLTR, it opened 10 percent higher the next day and kept climbing to 29 bucks. I expect SOFI to do the same.

PLTR

The play here is to buy near dated calls with a strike price that is around 18-20 dollars. Your profit on an 25 dollars investment on an $20 strike call will be upwards of 50 dollars. That's a 200% increase.

SOFI Straddle

This is my smooth brained play. As always, I am not a financial advisor, do your own DD and happy investing.

https://preview.redd.it/5h542vi9i8571.png?width=1500&format=png&auto=webp&s=1610a80127347a85939303f5792c7d3856cfc222

Farming will start at block #8399999. You can view the block countdown on BscScan.

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Harvest lockup is a unique rewards lockup mechanism used to limit the frequency of harvest. It is designed to prevent farming arbitrage bots from constantly harvesting and dumping like other farms before KrabSwap.

For example, the harvest lockup of the KP-BUSD farm is 3 hours. It means that farmers who stake in the KP-BUSD farm can only harvest (claim their rewards from farming) every 3 hours.

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I've been through this many times, both as an investor in startups that went public and as an individual investor buying shares of public companies.

The widely repeated warning is that as soon as the lockup expires in July, individual employees and early investors will dump their shares and the stock will tank. Insiders and investors know this is a great long term investment. They're not blind. That doesn't mean some won't sell once their shares are no longer locked up.

I did exactly that once, with a company called Sallie Mae. I held the private stock for 10 years before it went public, and shortly after the lockup expired, I sold my shares. The stock tripled in the next month after I sold. I didn't sell because I didn't believe in the company. I sold for personal reasons (I was building a new house and needed the cash).

That happens. There will be some employees and investors who will sell, but just because the lockup expires, doesn't mean they will all sell. When they do sell, they won't do it all at the same time, like the coordinated ladder attacks we're seeing daily. CLOV has enough liquidity and enough demand that this should be a non-issue.

The reality is that CLOV is a growing company in the very early stages of a promising growth story. If they continue executing their plan, I expect CLOV to be worth 20-50X a few years down the road. That's where real fortunes are made, and employees and insiders who believe in the company know that, too.

Yes, some people will sell some shares. A few may sell all their shares. But I believe this is much ado about nothing. I think any sales resulting from lockup expiration will pale in comparison to the ladder attacks from short sellers we've seen recently, and the market is doing a great job absorbing those.

HOLD CLOV for the long term- You'll be glad you did.

I would love to see the option for 6 month lockups for USDC, BTC and PAXG.For the increased lockup time we could get 1% or 2% more APR.Since i am a longterm investor i would love a feature like that. :)

*Edit
Sooo this is what i came up with. I am German so the english might be a bit off here and there. :)I have not sent it yet, i want to collect some more feedback. ^^

Dear crypto.com team,

the reddit community has some suggestions to improve the crypto.com Earn program and give all users more options and possibilities to invest in the platform.

1. Longer lockup periods of 6 - 12 months for assets associated with higher APR. For example, USDC could be locked up for 6 months to get 1% or 2% more APR.The idea behind this is that crypto.com can plan better with user funds and possibly distribute higher interest.
2. The second suggestion would be to offer the possibility of an autorenew function for Earn deposits in the settings, which would be practically be equivalent to an Auto Compound function.
3. Another suggestion would be to catch up with other platforms and offer additional stable coins for European users in the earn program. Nexo uses e.g. EURX from Etoro or Youhodler EURS (Stasis EURO).

Many crypto.com users are very interested in these suggestions as the Reddit post here clearly shows: https://www.reddit.com/r/Crypto_com/comments/nxl4ie/earn_with_longer_lockups_and_more_rewards/

Whether or not these suggestions can actually be implemented is up for debate. But it would certainly please the community if you could check and consider the improvements.

Regards
The crypto.com Reddit Community

Here are some of the tickers I’ve tracked over the past 6 months that have had lockup periods end: PLTR, DASH, and SOFI.

Palantir lost about 7% back on February 18th which also was in the midst of a major meme stock decline. It held around $25 for the most part for the next few weeks. A bigger decline hit months later so no real impact from expiry.

DoorDash was at $150 before news of the expiry came around and everyone on another subreddit was buying puts and printing money for about half a day. It dropped as low as $130 and then when the actual expiry day came, it jumped back up to $150 relatively quickly. Today, it closed at $183. A great example of expiry having little to no impact

Our most recent example is SoFi. This has had some pretty good pullback about 15% in the past two days but is very quickly coming back. Back over $19.50 in AH. I’m bullish here too and see $30 by end of august.

Point of the story is, we may see some pullback next week but it will just be another GREAT chance to buy the dip, if any.

Let me know what yalls thoughts are and other stocks you’ve seen. Godspeed CLOVers!! 🍀🍀🚀🚀

Position: 15,000 shares at $14.14 and 25 $15 7/2 calls and 25 $14 7/16 calls

ContextLogic ($WISH). I absolutely do not like the stock. I lucked out on my last WISH play: https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/nak6t1/wish_going_up_after_earnings_wishful_thinking/

This absolute turd was up +3.87 (49.87%) yesterday and another +3,47 (29,84%) in the AH as I write this.

And if I search the web I see total cancer such this pumpish drek: https://investorplace.com/2021/06/wish-stock-how-high-can-r-wallstreetbets-take-contextlogic-shares-today/

My, my look at the """quality""" of this WISH thread too: https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbetsOGs/comments/nvd29p/2_hour_wish_play_for_a_26k_profit_bought_in/

Absolute stupid ape wankery: https://old.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/nvbws4/wish_is_more_than_a_short_squeeze/

The point is I'm hella rainbow bear (sorry no emojis, too lazy) on this one and I was planning to get some puts right before lockup expiration which is soon (14th/06/2021) using this source: -> https://www.marketbeat.com/ipos/lockup-expirations/ Edit: Whomp whomp, go look directly at filings instead, a lesson to me and you. Lockup expired already on May 14 2021.

My nose says management might be manipulating it higher so they can cash out above the initial price of $24.

I think the play is go long with a few FD calls and hold no later than 13th (or the 14 at most?)*, make some gains, cash out, and then use some of the gains to get a few slightly longer dated (1 month?) puts and ride it down the lockup.

Any thoughts on this?

*If the pump shenanigans are indeed Shitadel's fault (and this would make sense considering the yuge upwards movements in other awful stocks) then, I think cashing out on or before the 11th is a lot wiser. If the gamma knife cuts downwards perhaps the optimal move is to get the hell out on Thursday? Timing is always the hardest part!

July 6 ends lockup for insider shares. I don't think this will be the savior for the HF's.

If you look at the 8-K filing the class B share holders would have to be willing to give up there ten to one voting advantage class B shares gives them. I doubt they would be willing to do that at these share/price levels.

https://preview.redd.it/fnoha77n6j771.png?width=1290&format=png&auto=webp&s=42522908890436a8424f4cd65df0a5788fd0dd52

If you look at the class A shares holder ChaChaCha SPAC C LLC has 10 million shares, but if you look at footnote (2) they are used as collateral so these are off the table.

That leaves 76.5 million shares that could be possibly sold. So they would need at least 25-30 million shares to be sold plus a good portion of the free float to dig themselves out of the hole there in.

I would say there is no easy solution for them back out of there short positions.

I previously worked for a startup that is now on the cusp of an IPO. I exercised all my vested shares on my way out, but I'm now being requested to sign a lockup agreement before the IPO.

I don't see any reason I should want to sign this but if I don't, is there any recourse the company could take? I'm not seeing what leverage they have to force me into it since I own my shares already.

This is my first time going through an IPO, so just wanted to get some advise from those of you who have.

Realistically, some of them will sell, some will hold, so how do you think those insider shares coming out of lockup is going to affect us?

Obligatory emojis

🍀🍀🍀💥🚀🚀🚀

I like this stock, I believe it's a good long term investment no matter what.

Blackstone bought an additional 37 million shares of Paysafe beyond their original 123 million shares. Redditor kiedennis noted that these additional shares would theoretically secure a 50.159% controlling interest for insiders, which some think could be part of ensuring Paysafe’s M&A strategy going forward. At the very least, it protects the company from hostile takeover. Notably, such a large purchase on top of the initial merger deal should allay fears that they’d want to sell when lockup expires in the coming weeks. Some are concerned about this lockup expiration, which I think is already priced in, but here are some further notes on the subject:

Back in 2017, Reuters reported Blackstone/CVC initially pursued Paysafe making five separate bids to take it private, increasing their bid 32% before Paysafe finally agreed. The Wall Street Journal later confirmed, Blackstone/CVC took Paysafe private for $3.9 Billion. (Around $4.2 Billion in today’s dollars)

An inside source close to those negotiations said, “There is a fundamental change in the way we pay for goods and services, away from the cash and cheques of our parents’ age,” adding that the private equity firms “have a decade-long thesis that this shift will only grow and grow and they want to get in now.”

Blackstone’s website says its typical investment term is “upwards of 7-10 years” which dovetails with the “decade-long thesis” noted above.

From 2017 to 2019, under Blackstone/CVC stewardship, Paysafe grew revenue 65% from $864 million to $1.418 billion. (28% CAGR) 2020 saw revenue stagnate due to Covid-related business closures and high-risk channel exits but, even so, if you add 2020’s performance, 2017-2020 still amounts to a respectable 18% CAGR, roughly the same as PayPal’s current projected growth.

Recently Paysafe has gone public through reverse merger, paid down $1.2 billion in debt and Blackstone/CVC received about $5.6 billion in cash and shares. Adjusted for inflation, that’s only a 33% gain on a 4 year hold which tells me they’d want to stay on and benefit from Foley’s M&A playbook which has steadily proven to generate 300-800% growth in as little as 5 years (This falls nicely within Blackstone’s remaining time horizon). As part of the deal, Paysafe’s 20F filing confirms that Blackstone rolled $1.23 billion into Paysafe, keeping 123 million shares. Foley says, this is part of what “created the confidence among the investor base to invest in the PIPE and then support the s

Life After Lockup: Life, Death, or Prison

Kristianna confronts her sister and husband about some shocking rumors; Andrea's birthday blowup with her Mormon friend causes a stir; Michael surprises Sarah; Destinie and Shawn expose revealing secrets; Shavel and Quaylon spiral out of control.

Show: Love After Lockup

Air date: March 12, 2021

Previous episode: Life After Lockup: Dirty Little Secrets

Honestly, this DD requires a lot of critical thinking. If that’s not your jam, please enjoy this cartoon of Alex Karp crushing the competition, then scroll down to the bottom of the DD where you’ll find my plan for the end of my lockup plus a few diamond emojiis, a couple of hand emojiis and a bunch of vacuum optimized transportation device emojiis.

(photo credit for the Karptoon goes to ex-Palantir designer u/gottacroe and my wife u/LindsayatAdaDiamonds photoshopping in the Salesforce Einstein)

Lots of words below, so here’s the TL;DRs, Table of Contents, a self dox, and position disclosure before my DD.

TL;DR #1: After watching Demo Day twice, I am blown away at how much Palantir’s products have matured in the last 6 years since I left Palantir. I find the new UX far superior to offerings from GOOG, MSFT, and CRM. Apollo is absolutely incredible, and it’s going where no clouds have gone before… from Humvees to nuclear submarines. Lastly, it is clear to me that PLTR has invested heavily in best-of-class administrative tools to improve the speed to deploy Palantir. Bottom line: I fully understand why IBM gave up fighting Palantir and is now selling Palantir Foundry to IBM clients.

PLTR when I left in 2015 versus the Palantir I saw on Demo Day:

You've come a long way baby.

_______

TL;DR #2: IBM just surrendered to PLTR. In the words of POTUS, this is a…

Big.

Fucking.

Deal.

To put it politely, IBM and Palantir don’t have a very good past relationship. So the fact that IBM is now pushing Foundry means one thing: Foundry is so unfuckwithable that IBM was losing numerous contracts to Foundry-wielding competitors and IBM had no choice but to swallow their pride and cut a deal with Papa Karp.

• First they ignore you.
• Then they laugh at you.
• Then they fight you.
• Then they surrender to you and sign a deal to slang Foundry to thousands of clients in 180 countries.
• Then they send your shareholders tendies for decades.

________

TL;DR #3: Regardless of how ‘good’ or ‘bad’ the 2020 earnings are tomorrow, I find the news from early 2021 to be an incredibly strong signal pointing to an eventual $250B+ market cap for Palantir – BP renewing their enterpr

Just spitballing here, wasn't yesterday or today the lockup expiration day?

There hasn't been a landslide sell-off yet and the people that spoke yesterday are all excited and J2TT on Canoo. Feels like we have entered Cape Canaveral and are prepping for imminent launch. 🚀🚀🚀

The one guy from Mercedes gives me a real Steve Jobs vibe with how he talks and is excited about niche Canoo developments, all done in house.

Not sure about you, but yesterday's movie time with Tony just reaffirmed my original bull thesis on this company. These guys mean business and have a product lineup ready to be executed and delivered to the public. Analysts say neutral because they don't want to get burned, but I believe Canoo is a strong buy and hold. Even Elon tweeted about Air Cleansing Tech in his toy cars this week, waves are being made behind this Canoo. 🎶🛶

Of course, I'm not well-versed on finance, so here's a grain of salt too.

1 year lock is 9.86% APY (MAX). BUT if you wanted to stake for 1 week at a time for whatever reason it would be 0.16 x 52 = 8.32% APY, losing 1.54% from the MAX 9.86. Similar for 3 months at 0.53 x 4 = 8.52% APY which is a loss of 1.34%.

Rewards for 25 AVAX

Is this how the diminishing returns work to incentivise longer staking?

Are Amber and Sammy still together? From the looks of things on Instagram it kind of seems like they’re not, which is sad because I feel like they really did love each other.

This new season certainly looks steamy though! John and Kristianna’s vow renewal and Shawn’s trashy new inmate FTW.

I recall during an AMA that Celsius was going to offer ETH2 staking in June. I want to make this move but I'll hold if it is really being offered this month. I haven't heard anything about it since.

Can I file this under actually happening or is it another MashinskySoon™?

UPST is a (profitable!) fintech that went public about 6 months ago at $20/share.

It closed today at $170/share.

It's share lockup ends next Monday (6/14).

It seems to me like a situation ripe for a sharp price drop as insiders move to secure some of these massive gains.

I think 7/16 $120 puts could pretty easily net 40-50% gains by the end of June with 100%+ certainly possible. I'm planning on opening up a position tomorrow with just puts, but may convert it to a put spread mitigate it's options prices being so jacked up by IV.

I've seen barely any talk about this on reddit so I thought I'd put it out there to discuss. Is anyone else eyeballing this?

Hello! Wanted to share my thoughts on Palantir ahead of its earnings next TUESDAY (Edit: sorry I got the day wrong in the title but the date 2/16 is correct). Lockup expiration is also 2/18*** (didn’t realize palantir was reporting before market open). Warning: long post ahead and TLDR at the bottom.

Palantir Business Overview

• In one sentence, Palantir creates operating systems that integrates vast amounts of data from an organization’s various data silos and allows users to build applications that drive better decision making
• If that's confusing, no worries. The way I like to think of Palantir's software is that if Batman purchased the software from a company today for his supercomputer which aggregates data from thousands of sources and allows him to make intelligent decisions, that software would be from Palantir
• The company has three main software platforms: Gotham, Foundry, and Apollo
• Gotham (government side)
  • Gotham is Palantir’s software offering primarily for defense and intelligence sectors, AKA governments
  • Gotham is an end-to-end operating system that collects data from hundreds to millions of different sources and combines them onto one platform so users can manage operations
  • Gotham is quickly becoming the de facto data solution across many US federal agencies and rumor has it that it was the software that helped track down Osama Bin Laden in 2011
• Foundry (commercial side)
  • Next up is Foundry, a platform that is geared towards the 6,000 businesses around the world with over $500 million in revenue
  • Similar to Gotham, Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data
  • For example, one of Palantir’s customers is Skywise, an aviation platform that has become the central operating system for the airline industry
• Apollo (underlying infrastructure)
  • Apollo is the last piece of the Palantir puzzle, and you can think of it as the underlying infrastructure that Gotham and Foundry lie upon
  • Apollo is a relatively new platform that Palantir introduced in order to more efficiently update the software that runs Gotham and Foundry, increasing the number of upgrades Palantir can manage across installations from an average of 20,000 per week in Q2 2019 to more than 41,000 per week in Q2 2020
• The company has estimated its total addressable market as $119 billion, of which $63 billion is for the government side while $56 billion is f

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V319-r7RDY0&list=PLcrp92bVuHcDAkHso3wqNbs7RCJISLedr&index=5

Life After Lockup: Dirty Little Secrets

Kristianna plans to have a risky rendezvous; Quaylon makes a shocking discovery; Andrea's Mormon friends question her faith; Amber is conflicted when faced with a surprise from her past; Shawn fears his relationship may have cost him his family.

Show: Love After Lockup

Air Date: March 5, 2021

Previous episode: Life After Lockup: 30 Day Fiancé

Next episode: Life After Lockup: Life, Death, or Prison

I was surprised at how much lockup this new bull trapper had. Is this too much lockup for a new $180 knife? My other clones all lock solid at around 20%.

A few more gripes: I can also wiggle the blade a tad bit because of some flex in the lock or something.

If you look at the second picture you can see that the scales on the lock side bow outward where the carbon fibers meets the titanium.

Flipped open

Flipped and then pushed the blade 100% open. Didn't touch locking bar.

Hi All,

When is stock lockup expiry? I am hoping price will come down and I will be able to load up.

Thanks

Life After Lockup: 30 Day Fiancé

Shavel demands a wedding in 30 days, but Quaylon has doubts when their family objects; Kristianna's troubling suspicion about her husband and sister is sparked by her mom's shocking claim; John battles a risky temptation when he's burned by Lacey.

Show: Love After Lockup

Air date: February 26, 2021

Previous episode: Life After Lockup: It's Tow or Never

Next episode: Life After Lockup: Dirty Little Secrets

I had 2 recent IPOs (one with lockup expired, one pending lockup) and sold 1/4 of the first one during an early lockup period but otherwise still have most of it just sitting in my brokerage account now.

For those who have similar experiences did you rush to sell all of it as soon as you could, hold, or sell a little every so often?

The stock took a bit of a beating like most of the new “growthy” tech stocks in the last few months and was generally not planning on incurring more cap gains this year than I need to but who knows where the market is headed.