Ball Corporation - A Speculative Analysis (NYSE: BLL)

Introduction:

Welcome back to my weekly stock analysis.

Ball Corporation (NYSE: BLL) Sector: Packaging & containers (Consumer Cyclical)

Company Strengths & Risks:

BLL is a Colorado based company. It started as a jar, lid and canning company. Some notable acquisitions in recent years from BLL were Rexam (UK based), and Tubex Industria (Brazil). BLL focuses on Aluminum packaging as well as having an aerospace branch. They designed and built the camera for the Kepler mission, and built 7 instruments for Hubble.

Strengths:

  • 10 year dividend growth
  • healthy payout ratio
  • Nice historical price appreciation
  • High dividend growth

Risks:

  • high debt
  • low yield (I know some of you care more for income than growth)
  • Highly leveraged
  • Acquisition every 3 years (ensures high debt)

Financial History and numbers

BLL: Numbers from Seeking Alpha and Macrotrends as of April 25 2021

Stock BLL
P/E Ratio 27.33
Stock price $93.98
Current Annual Payout/Share $0.60
Yield 0.64%
5 Yr Div Growth Rate 18.20%
3 Yr Div Growth Rate 14.47%
1 Yr Div Growth Rate 9.09%
Years Of Growth 10
Current Payout Ratio 17.45%
Free Cash Flow / Share -1.8346
Revenue (ttm) 11.781B
Debt / Equity Ratio 2.33
Debt / EBITDA 4.66
EPS 1.76
ROE 20.30%
ROA 3.40%

BLL is highly leveraged. This is my biggest red flag. The debt seems to hold which matches historical trends. The equity took a dip in 2019. The ebitda is holding constant. The dividend growth is outstanding. The PE ratio is high, but not too outrageous. I am not worried about the free cash flow per share. It shows a cyclical pattern, as consumer stocks have. The payout ratio of 20% has me thinking that BLL is going to continue thriving. With its products geared towards the US government, I do not need to fear for financial security. With that established, let me use the 3 year dividend growth rate to project dividends forward.

Year BLL
2022 0.69
2023 0.79
2024 0.90

2025

... keep reading on reddit ➑

πŸ‘︎ 13
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πŸ‘€︎ u/chaosumbreon87
πŸ“…︎ Apr 26 2021
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Krystal Ball: Corporations Are POISONING Babies While Regulators Look The Other Way youtu.be/A1ICCGFg25Y
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πŸ‘€︎ u/popcornboiii
πŸ“…︎ Feb 08 2021
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Krystal Ball: Corporations Are POISONING Babies While Regulators Look The Other Way youtu.be/A1ICCGFg25Y
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πŸ‘€︎ u/popcornboiii
πŸ“…︎ Feb 08 2021
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Krystal Ball: Corporations Are POISONING Babies While Regulators Look The Other Way [Rising, Feb 8, 2021] youtube.com/watch?v=A1ICC…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/NonnyO
πŸ“…︎ Feb 09 2021
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Eat Out to Help Rishi: The 'Eat Out to Help Out' campaign won't save jobs, but it will hand over millions of pounds in subsidies to major corporations – and set the ball rolling on Rishi Sunak's leadership campaign. tribunemag.co.uk/2020/08/…
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πŸ“…︎ Aug 05 2020
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Krystal Ball: Corporations Are POISONING Babies While Regulators Look The Other Way youtube.com/watch?v=A1ICC…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/RandomCollection
πŸ“…︎ Feb 10 2021
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Krystal Ball: Corporations Are POISONING Babies While Regulators Look The Other Way youtu.be/A1ICCGFg25Y
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πŸ‘€︎ u/popcornboiii
πŸ“…︎ Feb 08 2021
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Krystal Ball: Corporations Are POISONING Babies While Regulators Look The Other Way youtu.be/A1ICCGFg25Y
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πŸ‘€︎ u/popcornboiii
πŸ“…︎ Feb 08 2021
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Ball Corporation joins us to drive sustainability arsenal.com/news/ball-cor…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/tipodecinta
πŸ“…︎ Oct 22 2020
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Arsenal + Ball Corporation Partnership on Sustainable Aluminum Beverage Packing ballarena.com/kse-ball-gl…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/redwithin
πŸ“…︎ Oct 27 2020
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The 'Eat Out to Help Out' campaign won't save jobs, but it will hand over millions of pounds in subsidies to major corporations – and set the ball rolling on Rishi Sunak's leadership campaign, argues @GraceBlakeley. twitter.com/tribunemagazi…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/UpbeatNail
πŸ“…︎ Aug 05 2020
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Luke Rudkowski - China basically admits it controls Wall Street and major US corporations and they worked together against Trump because he wasn’t playing ball with them twitter.com/i/status/1336…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/KnownEdge
πŸ“…︎ Dec 08 2020
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WWBL Wiffle Ball β€’ Milkyway Galaxy vs The Corporation reddit.com/r/sports/comme…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/develasco22
πŸ“…︎ Oct 22 2020
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Moe Davis v Madison Cawthorn race (NC24) interview on The Hill highlight once again that Krystal Ball has no values other than corporations are bad

Cawthorn interview (Rep)

Davis interview (Dem)

Not one tough question for Cawthorn. Entirely antagonistic for Moe.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/chocolatechip420
πŸ“…︎ Jul 17 2020
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I don't think people realize how much the government has many major corporations by the balls right now

It could basically force them into virtually any concession they want. What are shareholders-CEO's going to do? Threaten to move their bankrupt companies overseas lol

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πŸ“…︎ Mar 18 2020
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Have you noticed the peculiar fact that despite the lockdown, the economic crisis, tens of millions unemployed and multiple corporations filing for bankruptcy, Wall Street is having a ball?

CNBCβ€˜s Jim Cramer examined this anomaly earlier a few days ago, his verdict:

>Β β€œwe're looking at a V-shaped recovery in the stock market, and that has almost nothing to do with a V-shaped recovery in the economy. What is going on is one of the greatest wealth transfers in history.”

How can the market rebound when the economy has not?Β  Cramer’s answer is so simple.

>***β€œBecause the market doesn’t represent the economy; it represents the future of big business.”***

Federal data shows that the nation faces a 13.3 percent unemployment rate. The fortunes of U.S. billionaires increased by $565 billion between March 18 and June 4 while the same 11-week period also saw 42.6 million Americans filing jobless claims.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/secretymology
πŸ“…︎ Jun 10 2020
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Anyone else wonder why corporations go balls to the wall for pride month but not black history month?

I can't be the only one. Especially worth thinking about nowadays imo

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πŸ‘€︎ u/bonsaiboy208
πŸ“…︎ Jun 02 2020
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TIL The Ball Corporation, who makes Ball jars and Aluminum cans, owns a subsidiary who manufacturers satellites, other spacecraft and components. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bal…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Nail_
πŸ“…︎ Dec 05 2019
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SILPH Corporation's decision to never make a reusable poke ball was a brilliant capitalist move
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πŸ‘€︎ u/magnanimous14
πŸ“…︎ Jun 23 2020
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Moe Davis v Madison Cawthorn race (NC24) interview on The Hill highlight once again that Krystal Ball has no values other than corporations are bad /r/Destiny/comments/hslp4…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/OptimalCalendar5
πŸ“…︎ Jul 17 2020
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[HIRING] Engineer I - Machine Learning at Ball Corporation in Fairborn, OH

Ball Corporation is searching for a Engineer I - Machine Learning in Fairborn, OH with the following skills: Machine Learning, Deep Learning , more information here: https://www.datayoshi.com/offer/739656/engineer-i---machine-learning-ball-corporation

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πŸ‘€︎ u/boinabbc
πŸ“…︎ Jun 23 2020
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Capsule Corporation spaceship | Dragon Ball - Blender 2.8
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πŸ‘€︎ u/alejagalesa
πŸ“…︎ Apr 30 2020
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If CVS, (or any other corporation) had balls, they would just refuse to serve problem customers

A multi-million dollar company can just straight up refuse to help shitty customers that are constantly returning things, coupon haggling with multiple accounts, being rude to employees, etc. But CVS and all these other companies won't, because they have no balls.

There is this theater chain in Texas called Alamo Drafthouse. They don't put up with any bullshit. You start making noise during a movie, busting out your bright ass phone screen, any type of shit and you are escorted out, zero tolerance. And people LOVE Alamo Drafthouse for this reason.

Someday when I'm CEO of Cee Deez Nuts (CVS) I'm going to issue a decree that all managers are to immediately create a list of their top 5 problem customers and then refuse to serve them anymore. When the customers complain, they can call my specially designated phone number where I will personally argue with them and tell them they are permanently banned.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/EriclcirE
πŸ“…︎ Aug 31 2019
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Ball-Bartoe JW-1 Jetwing. A conventional gear jet created in collaboration with the Ball Jar corporation.
πŸ‘︎ 35
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πŸ‘€︎ u/JoeyTheGreek
πŸ“…︎ Oct 19 2019
🚨︎ report
[HIRING] Engineer I - Machine Learning at Ball Corporation in Fairborn, OH

Ball Corporation is searching for a Engineer I - Machine Learning in Fairborn, OH with the following skills: Machine Learning, Deep Learning , more information here: https://www.datayoshi.com/offer/739656/engineer-i---machine-learning-ball-corporation

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πŸ‘€︎ u/boinabbc
πŸ“…︎ Jun 23 2020
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