The Canadian Arctic Archipelago: the next "cradle of civilization" in a few hundred years?

I haven't seen much about this specific topic, so I thought I would open it up for discussion. With the arctic areas of the world expected to warm the most drastically over the next 100 years, it would make sense for the arctic archipelago in canada to serve as a prime location for city-building in just a few hundred years.

The facts:

The region is expected to warm by around 12 Celsius by the 2080s: https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/prairie-climate-centre-canada-weather-future

This specific region of North America has been unexplored in terms of potential resources, which means an untapped source of energy/materials: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Petroleum_regions_-_North_America_map-fr.svg

the future climate of the area may support forestry, here is a current map of the boreal forest region, which will presumably shift northward over time: https://www.pewtrusts.org/-/media/post-launch-images/2015/03/boreal_map.jpg

Not to mention that so many islands will make transportation of materials easier via boats rather than having to deal with the construction of so many freight train lines.

Will this area be a future population center for humanity? Will each island be its own country? Will the entire archipelago be one government? This would all be a few hundred years into the future, if the rate of climate change remains on course. Perhaps a future humanity will be separated by hemisphere, with the most developed countries hugging the two poles, with nations becoming less developed as they near the equator, much like how the Old World was cut off from the New World when the Bering Strait disappeared thousands of years ago.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/camdoodlebop
πŸ“…︎ Jan 05 2022
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] [Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/stankmanly
πŸ“…︎ Jan 01 2022
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] [Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
πŸ“…︎ Dec 19 2021
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
πŸ“…︎ Dec 19 2021
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
πŸ“…︎ Dec 19 2021
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] [Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
πŸ“…︎ Dec 19 2021
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] [Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
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In a hypothetical scenario in which humans never left Africa, would refugium mammoth steppe have ranged across the Canadian Arctic Archipelago to Greenland during the Holocene?

From what I have been able to work out, I think this hypothetical range very likely, at least partly in some places if not the full assemblage.

Unlike Britain in Europe, the Arctic Archipelago was not formed by floods and rising sea levels at the Pleistocene-Holocene transition but were, so to speak, already islands beneath the ice. At this time, with the exceptions of Banks Island and Victoria Island, the islands of the archipelago were at all times separated from mainland North America and each other by ice sheets and ocean channels.

This is visually demonstrated in this video which maps the melting of the North American ice sheets during the LGM and early Holocene. (Sped-up version starts at 05:30) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LydQXydQKrc

This might suggest that as the glaciers retreated in the Holocene, hypothetical megafaunal migrations across the Arctic Archipelago to Greenland would have been cut short by ocean channels with no consistent land passage across. Yet here is the modern range of the muskox (Red = naturally established range, blue = reintroductions.)

https://preview.redd.it/nxjp1wy4o0281.png?width=450&format=png&auto=webp&s=57fb0a81515b9c1dd1fbe66b2f0c8670a2de07ef

Evidence from a paper I read about caribou migration suggested that this range was fully established by the mid-Holocene. Caribou and wolves also live across this range, as well as on Baffin Island. Sea ice is no barrier to caribou which can migrate across it at speed for long distances. Muskoxen cannot travel great distances like caribou, but they can and do cross sea ice. The islands of the Arctic Archipelago are pretty densely clustered, and while some sea channels are much wider than others, one island always seems to come pretty close to another at certain points along their perimeters. That is to say, there are always points in the archipelago where a short and manageable crossing over sea ice is possible.

The Parry Channel is the most significant barrier, but even this does not present an unreasonable barrier, with its narrowest point being 45km (28 miles) wide, which a hardy beast could manage in a day. If Muskoxen managed the Parry Channel then I'm damned sure that bison herds and woolly mammoths would have managed it too. As for predators, they might have made annual trips across the sea ice while stalking the migrating herbivore herds.

If all this is the case, then the hypothetical modern range of th

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Count_Vapular
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Unprecedented die-offs, melting ice: Climate change is wreaking havoc in the Arctic and beyond [Alaska’s Kodiak Archipelago] [Kodiak National Wildlife Refuge] latimes.com/environment/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
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What if in 1816, the Arctic Archipelago and Malay Archipelago switched places?
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πŸ‘€︎ u/PlaneSoftware4
πŸ“…︎ Aug 29 2021
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Walruses lying on Northbrook Island, Franz Josef Archipelago, Russian Arctic
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πŸ‘€︎ u/sovereign217
πŸ“…︎ Oct 28 2021
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The Canadian Arctic Archipelago youtu.be/STQqzAYIeYY
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BurstYourBubbles
πŸ“…︎ Oct 15 2021
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Russian Arctic warming leads to major ice loss. Glaciers and ice caps in two archipelagos in the Russian Arctic are losing enough meltwater to fill nearly five million Olympic-size swimming pools each year ed.ac.uk/news/2021/russia…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Wagamaga
πŸ“…︎ Aug 02 2021
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Sea ice growth after the summer minimum begins in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago polarbearscience.com/2021…
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An Arctic fox on Alexandra Land, an island in the Franz Josef Land archipelago in the Arctic Ocean. Photo Gavriil Grigorov
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πŸ‘€︎ u/greatyellowshark
πŸ“…︎ May 08 2021
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Polar bears on the Norwegian archipelago of Svalbard are inbreeding as climate change melts away Arctic ice. The populations have seen a 10% loss in their genetic diversity from 1995 to 2016 resulting from the rapid loss of ice in the Barents Sea. cbsnews.com/news/polar-be…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/avogadros_number
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Widespread wildfire across the Pliocene Canadian Arctic Archipelago sciencedirect.com/science…
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Phantom lands of Petermann Land and King Oscar Land, north of real Franz Josef Land archipelago, 1874. Also seems like a lot of optimistic hope for an Arctic continent.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/YanniRotten
πŸ“…︎ Aug 11 2021
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New study warns: We have underestimated the pace at which the Arctic is melting | Over the past 40 years, temperatures have risen by one degree every decade, and even more so over the Barents Sea and around Norway's Svalbard archipelago, where they have increased by 1.5 degrees per decade phys.org/news/2020-08-und…
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πŸ“…︎ Aug 11 2020
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Phantom lands of Petermann Land and King Oscar Land, north of real Franz Josef Land archipelago, 1874. Also seems like a lot of optimistic hope for an Arctic continent.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/YanniRotten
πŸ“…︎ Aug 11 2021
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Franz Josef Iand (russia), an archipelago in the arctic ocean at 81Β°N
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Parsa72
πŸ“…︎ Jan 27 2021
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By request: My alternate Earth's tectonic plates map, including ATLANTIS! Broke Ellesmere and Axel Heiberg Islands from Canadian Arctic archipelago and left them behind when North America moved away. Used Lomonosov ridge's southernmost point to close Greenland gap to not destroy Earth's climate.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Ed_Eddie_Edwin
πŸ“…︎ Dec 03 2020
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Archipelago Franz Josef Land (Russian Arctic) and its huge round stones - concretions. reddit.com/gallery/myu6fb
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Proper-Sock4721
πŸ“…︎ Apr 26 2021
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Highest-ever temperature recorded in Norwegian Arctic archipelago japantimes.co.jp/news/202…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BurstYourBubbles
πŸ“…︎ Jul 26 2020
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πŸ”₯ A reindeer takes in a full moon glow and emerald Northern Lights in Svalbard, an Arctic archipelago halfway between Norway and the North Pole.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/dangillmor7187
πŸ“…︎ Sep 20 2020
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A reindeer taking in a full moon glow and emerald Northern Lights in Svalbard, an Arctic archipelago halfway between Norway and the North Pole.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/dangillmor7187
πŸ“…︎ Sep 20 2020
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πŸ”₯ Reindeer herders on the Russian Arctic archipelago of Lyakhovsky Island have found an immaculately preserved carcass of an ice age cave bear, w/teeth and nose intact. A preliminary analysis indicated the adult bear lived 22,000 to 39,500 years ago, a species that became extinct 15,000 years ago
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πŸ‘€︎ u/tugboattomp
πŸ“…︎ Sep 14 2020
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Victoria Island is a large island in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. It’s an island within an island within an island. By the way, it’s probably never had a human visitor.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Nicat_95
πŸ“…︎ Nov 04 2020
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Norway’s Arctic archipelago sees record high temperatures globalnews.ca/news/721786…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/farfulla
πŸ“…︎ Jul 26 2020
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Norway’s Arctic archipelago sees record high temperatures globalnews.ca/news/721786…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/rspix000
πŸ“…︎ Jul 25 2020
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Located 120m inside a sandstone mountain on the Norwegian island of Spitsbergen in the remote Arctic Svalbard archipelago, 1,300km from the North Pole, the Svalbard Global Seed Vault is the most highly secured, robustly guarded seed bank in the world.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Daddy__Warbucks__
πŸ“…︎ Jul 03 2020
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Populations in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago
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πŸ‘€︎ u/repliers_beware
πŸ“…︎ Oct 17 2019
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The islands in the Canadian Arctic Archipelago
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πŸ‘€︎ u/xegssled
πŸ“…︎ Feb 13 2020
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πŸ”₯ A reindeer basks in full moon glow and emerald Northern Lights in Svalbard, an Arctic archipelago halfway between Norway and the North Pole. (Favre Lionel)
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πŸ‘€︎ u/-AMARYANA-
πŸ“…︎ Dec 03 2019
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Flying over the Svalbard archipelago in the high Arctic at about 75 degrees north. Svalbard is 650 miles from the North Pole and 850 miles above the Arctic Circle. Arctic Ocean is in background. Daylight for 24 hrs a day. Crazy.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ThePolarizedBear
πŸ“…︎ May 14 2020
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[OC]Arctic Variation of the Treacherous Archipelago [40x42]
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ViSoMaps
πŸ“…︎ Oct 07 2020
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TIL In 2013, Russian explorers drove from Russia to Canada, using a bus to across the frozen Arctic Ocean, more than 4,000 kilometers (2,485 miles) in 70 days at a speed of 10 kph (6.2 miles/h) from the Russian archipelago Severnaya Zemlya to the pole and then to Resolute Bay in Canada's far north. phys.org/news/2013-05-rus…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/lopezjessy
πŸ“…︎ Feb 22 2020
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Treacherous Archipelago - 2 maps(Arctic + Ocean) reddit.com/gallery/iyeqjv
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ViSoMaps
πŸ“…︎ Sep 23 2020
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Arctic Archipelago I made on World Painter
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πŸ‘€︎ u/quran_burner69
πŸ“…︎ Mar 29 2020
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Highest-ever temperature recorded in Norwegian Arctic archipelago japantimes.co.jp/news/202…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/GlobalWFundfEP
πŸ“…︎ Jul 26 2020
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Thought you guys might appreciate this picture of mine from Svalbard (arctic archipelago) taken a couple weeks ago
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πŸ‘€︎ u/warsponge
πŸ“…︎ Jun 12 2019
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Temperatures at Norway's Arctic archipelago hit record high nationalpost.com/pmn/envi…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/kyleforgues
πŸ“…︎ Jul 26 2020
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TDIH: August 30, 1873, Austrian explorers Julius von Payer and Karl Weyprecht discover the archipelago of Franz Josef Land in the Arctic Sea.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Paul-Belgium
πŸ“…︎ Aug 30 2020
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New study warns: We have underestimated the pace at which the Arctic is melting | Over the past 40 years, temperatures have risen by one degree every decade, and even more so over the Barents Sea and around Norway's Svalbard archipelago, where they have increased by 1.5 degrees per decade phys.org/news/2020-08-und…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/worldnewsbot
πŸ“…︎ Aug 11 2020
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TIL that ice loss in the Arctic Archipelago over the past decades has opened up historically impassable sea routes connecting the Atlantic and Pacific with the potential to become a major shipping route wikipedia.org/wiki/Northw…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/8u11etpr00f
πŸ“…︎ Apr 29 2020
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Longyearbyen, Norway is 800 miles north of the Arctic Circle in the Svalbard Archipelago and is the most northerly town in the world. I visited in June and it was light 24 hours a day.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ThePolarizedBear
πŸ“…︎ Jul 23 2019
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