Some fuckhead changed the 'United States presidential approval rating' wikipedia page to show Trump's highest approval at 59% (lol). Can someone fix this?

Wikipedia won't let me edit it. You could just undo the most recent edit and it should be good.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_approval_rating#Historical_comparison

Edit: looks like some patriot took care of it. Thanks!

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πŸ‘€︎ u/traunks
πŸ“…︎ Aug 22 2018
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Respect for the United States has soared around the globe since Joe Biden became president | The approval ratings did drop sharply in one country after Trump left office: Russia. lgbtqnation.com/2021/10/r…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ohnoh18
πŸ“…︎ Oct 19 2021
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Respect for the United States has soared around the globe since Joe Biden became president | The approval ratings did drop sharply in one country after Trump left office: Russia. lgbtqnation.com/2021/10/r…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/BlankVerse
πŸ“…︎ Oct 19 2021
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2020 US presidential election results if Biden wins every state where Trump's disapproval rating is at least 5% points higher than his approval rating [OC]
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πŸ“…︎ Aug 27 2020
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Respect for the United States has soared around the globe since Joe Biden became president | The approval ratings did drop sharply in one country after Trump left office: Russia.

This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 48%. (I'm a bot)


> Respect for the United States has skyrocketed around the globe now that former president Donald Trump is out of office.

> While Biden has only been in office for six months, the median approval rating of the US leadership has soared to 49 percent, a number not seen since the beginning of former President Barack Obama's term in office.

> Trump had a 30 percent approval rating at the end of his presidency.

> "But missed opportunities to engage with the rest of the world during all four years - particularly during the pandemic - likely overshadowed any potential goodwill and help explain the 30% approval rating at the end of Trump's term."

> "In the first few hours of his presidency, Biden rejoined the Paris Climate Accord and halted Trump's decision to leave the World Health Organization. And, in his first foreign policy speech as president, Biden vowed to repair U.S. alliances through diplomacy and restore the image of the U.S.," they continued.

> In almost every country, the approval rating soared by at least 10 percent.


Summary Source | FAQ | Feedback | Top keywords: Trump^#1 rating^#2 approval^#3 country^#4 office^#5

Post found in /r/politics, /r/politics and /r/politicly.

NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/autotldr
πŸ“…︎ Oct 19 2021
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Respect for the United States has soared around the globe since Joe Biden became president | The approval ratings did drop sharply in one country after Trump left office: Russia. lgbtqnation.com/2021/10/r…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/EricSchC1fr
πŸ“…︎ Oct 20 2021
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Global Leader Approval Tracker | Morning Consult Political Intelligence is currently tracking the approval rating for governmental leaders in Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, South Korea, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. morningconsult.com/form/g…
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πŸ“…︎ Jun 19 2021
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StarTribune: Presidential approval ratings - 12/9/2021
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πŸ‘€︎ u/lasocs
πŸ“…︎ Dec 09 2021
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Bette Middler Blasts McConnell: 'How Did He Win With an 18% Approval Rating?' ΒΆΒΆ HE cheated with the aid or Russia - no evidence of voter fraud in the presidential election? Try looking at the state level elections for Russian "help" thehill.com/blogs/in-the-…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/punchin_juedi
πŸ“…︎ Dec 11 2020
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TDIH: November 7, 1973, The United States Congress overrides President Richard M. Nixon's veto of the War Powers Resolution, which limits presidential power to wage war without congressional approval. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Paul-Belgium
πŸ“…︎ Nov 07 2020
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Gas prices and presidential approval ratings are perfectly correlated

In this twitter post by an organization called "Data for progress" a univariate linear regression was used to model the relationship between gas prices and presidential approval ratings. The authors used approval ratings at level (Y) and a weekly average of gas prices (x). They found a R^2 / correlation of around 0.96 / 96%, which is extremely high for an empirical regression. This R1 will focus on the econometrics of the claim, rather than the veracity of the claim itself.

What's wrong with the model?

For the vast majority of models in time series econometrics, a requirement for the model to be unbiased / consistent is for the data to be stationary. Put simply, this means that observations are converted into log difference or into a % change instead of using it as is. This is because when we examine things like asset prices, macro or micro economic variables or anything that grows over time, there is a natural upward trend in the movement of these variables. This causes 'false' correlation with the associated data points, biasing inferential statistics and making your model biased.

With this information, we can say that the model used was biased because:

  • Contemporaneous correlation: A weekly average of oil prices is not stationary, so a natural upward trend in the price of the asset is in the data, which means that the R^2 of 0.96 he got is wrong and the correlation he establishes is highly biased.
  • Volatility clustering in asset prices that see 'jumps' tend to be quite strong. Clustering makes the effects of price jumps and serial correlation more pronounced, making the lack of consideration of auto correlation even worse in his regression.
  • Weekly frequency when dealing with gas prices don't reflect the nature of how gas prices behave (they are volatile and are typically examined at higher frequencies)
  • It's also a single variable regression, so there are several omitted variables (ie the regression is way too simplistic)

So the model is biased. What does the same model look like with unbiased data?

I first began by replicating the study with the same underlying data as the model used in the twitter post. I used DHHNGSP (fred) for gas prices. For approval ratings, I used all voter approval ratings for Biden from fivethirtyeight. Both are at a daily frequency, beginning

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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πŸ‘€︎ u/31501
πŸ“…︎ Nov 18 2021
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2020 United States Presidential Election Approval Voting facebook.com/groups/2020P…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/MWBartko
πŸ“…︎ Dec 06 2019
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Net approval ratings of leaders of Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, South Korea, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States for the year 2020 morningconsult.com/form/g…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/abi_hawkeye
πŸ“…︎ Jan 04 2021
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🀣🀣🀣🀣🀣 Kamala Harris has sought the counsel of twice-failed presidential aspirant Hillary Clinton on the best way to reverse diving approval ratings... My bet is she asked for something something "kill-itself" recipes πŸ€”πŸ€£πŸ€£
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πŸ“…︎ Dec 24 2021
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Tariq Nasheed: Wait. Last week when the media was reporting of Kamala Harris and her low approval ratings, they made a point to just refer to her as β€œBlack” Now that she held temporary presidential β€œpower” (Face rolling eyes) because of Biden’s Bussy surgery, they are claiming she’s β€œAsian” again

https://twitter.com/tariqnasheed/status/1461837926757584898

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πŸ‘€︎ u/DrJaye
πŸ“…︎ Nov 20 2021
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COVID-19 shapes political approval rating. More than 2 million daily approval ratings were collected for 11 heads of government from geographically and culturally diverse countries and all 50 United States governors. uncnews.unc.edu/2020/09/2…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Wagamaga
πŸ“…︎ Sep 25 2020
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For 85 minutes, Kamala Harris became the first woman with presidential power,. Making her the president with a lower approval rating than Trump. cnn.com/2021/11/19/politi…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Jeheh
πŸ“…︎ Nov 20 2021
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2020 Presidential Election Map based on Trump's Q1 State Approval Ratings

An interesting look at what the 2020 map could look like, based solely on Trump's state-by-state approval ratings (per Morning Consult).

https://www.270towin.com/maps/BPzdE

Key:

  • Toss-Up = Trump net approval of 0
  • Tilt = Trump net dis/approval of 1-5
  • Lean = Trump net dis/approval of 5-10
  • Likely = Trump net dis/approval of 10-15
  • Solid = Trump net dis/approval of 15+

Now, obviously some of these states aren't likely to be competitive (like Idaho or Oklahoma). But it definitely shows that we have a lot of room to work with, depending on the nominee.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Hawkeye720
πŸ“…︎ Apr 25 2019
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Bernie Sanders is the Most Popular Senator in America - " Sanders has the highest approval rating of any United States senator among his own constituents, at 83%" morningconsult.com/2015/1…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/pplswar
πŸ“…︎ Jan 07 2016
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Presidential Approval Rating.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ClassicSoulboy
πŸ“…︎ Sep 22 2021
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Do you think the next United States president will have a low international approval rating no matter what?

Obama had a high international approval rating, partially due to being "not Bush" when Bush had a low international approval rating.

Do you think that Trump's damaged the institution of the presidency so much that president 46 no matter who they are will have a continuation of Trump's low approval rating?

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πŸ‘€︎ u/taksark
πŸ“…︎ Aug 13 2019
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TIL When he left office in 1993, Brian Mulroney had the lowest approval ratings of any Canadian Prime Minister since the Second World War. Mulroney was close friends with several American Presidents and many in Canada accused him of being nothing more than a lackey to the United States mcgilltribune.com/opinion…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/vannybros
πŸ“…︎ Dec 21 2019
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Trump is the only president not to register a 50% job approval rating at any point in his presidency since Gallup began measuring presidential job approval in 1938 (Avg Record-Low 41%) news.gallup.com/poll/3286…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/dect60
πŸ“…︎ Jan 21 2021
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TIL: the Vice President of the United States was determined by the 2nd most electoral votes (the runner up for presidential ticket). This stopped when Jefferson and Burr ran against each other (1800). simple.wikipedia.org/wiki…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/EkariKeimei
πŸ“…︎ Jan 10 2022
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Is Jindal the Least Popular Guv? If home state approval ratings are any indication, likely presidential candidate Bobby Jindal of Louisiana doesn’t stand a chance. His popularity currently stands at 3rd from the bottom in a ranking of US Governors. thedailybeast.com/article…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/GonzoVeritas
πŸ“…︎ Feb 25 2014
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Presidential Approval Rating.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ClassicSoulboy
πŸ“…︎ Sep 22 2021
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Subreddit Presidential Approval Rating Poll Results.
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πŸ‘€︎ u/FredererPower
πŸ“…︎ Aug 28 2021
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[#2|+4480|450] TIL The United States Congress only has a job approval rating of around 15%, but Congressional incumbents are re-elected at a rate of roughly 95% [/r/todayilearned] reddit.com/r/todayilearne…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/FrontpageWatch
πŸ“…︎ Feb 14 2016
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How I became a 92 approval rating as President of the United States (also applies to Canada)

Get smarts to 100, go to political science as a major. Do 4 years, become lobbyists, by the time your around 55 you should have a decent amount of money. Use about 25 to 45 on becoming mayor. Restart until you win. Check the newspaper and put the main topic as 16% and everything else at 8, do that for next 4 years and run for re-election. If your approval rating is above 85 you don’t need to use that much money for re-election.

Become governor. When you become a famous politician only do social media and talk shows. Use about 25 to 45% of money to run. Repeat what you did as mayor. You should be a famous politician by the end of your 2 terms as governor.

Now that your only option is president, go to grad school and focus on fame, (you can do anything) grad school is 2 years so for the other 2 just do whatever.

Now you run for President, do republican and Democrat because those are your best chances, use about 45 to 65 of your wealth. Congratulations, your now president. You now have more agenda options, put the main issue on 16% and everything else at 5%.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Jackson_Neidert
πŸ“…︎ Apr 25 2020
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Which measurable factors are most predictive of presidential approval ratings?

I realize causality can be difficult to prove in social science, but at very least I'd like to know which factors seem predictive in influencing presidential approval ratings.

I'm particularly interested in factors that are measured frequently, but anything measurable will do.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/DayMajestic796
πŸ“…︎ Nov 11 2021
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Bush approval rating polled at 90% by Gallup, the highest presidential approval rating ever recorded in US history [20YA - Sep 24] news.gallup.com/poll/4924…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Ineedmyownname
πŸ“…︎ Sep 24 2021
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I am a time traveler from the year 2024. Here are the 2024 United States presidential election results. reddit.com/gallery/s1o75d
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πŸ‘€︎ u/YourMomIsA304
πŸ“…︎ Jan 11 2022
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United States president Donald Trump says his approval rating is 120% with "no other president coming close to how great he is"
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πŸ“…︎ May 19 2020
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Which measurable factors are most predictive of presidential approval ratings?

I realize causality can be difficult to prove in social science, but at very least I'd like to know which factors seem predictive in influencing presidential approval ratings.

I'm particularly interested in factors that are measured frequently, but anything measurable will do.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/DayMajestic796
πŸ“…︎ Nov 11 2021
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