A list of puns related to "Estimate Of The Situation"
The LDS Church has investments worth around $100 billion being held in tax exempt accounts by Ensign Peak
The World Bank estimates global malnutrition could be solved by investing $70 billion over 10 years, though the report suggest targets could be hit for less.
I canβt really think of a bigger rainy day they could be saving this for.
This uses many sources, so keep that in mind. Also, keep in mind that this is not a "good" build and it's definitely not a realistic build, but it is a build that can in 1 turn [no time stop] accomplishes a faster movement speed than any other build [planeshifters be damned] without relying on other players.
We'll be using a level 20 Tabaxi with 3 levels in Blood Hunter, 5 in Barbarian, 10 levels in Monk, and 2 levels in Fighter.
Tabaxi's have a base movement speed of 30 and can use the Feline Agility ability to double their speed for one turn (but can't do this again until they spend now turn at 0 speed).
For Blood Hunter, we'll be utilizing the Order of the Mutant's Rapidity Mutagen which gives us a +10 to our walking speed until our next rest.
For Barbarian, we'll be taking advantage of the Fast Movement ability (+10) as well as the Totem Warrior's Elk Spirit ability (+15) which gives us a total speed boost of +25.
For Monk, we will be taking advantage of the +20 movement speed boost from Unarmored Movement. We'll also use the Step of the Wind ability which allows us to spend a ki point to dash as a bonus action.
For Fighter, we'll be using the Action Surge ability which allows us one extra action (once per short rest).
We will take the Mobile feat to boost our speed by +10 and the Magic Initiate (Wizard) feat to gain the Longstrider spell (+10 speed for 1 hour).
We will attune to the Boots of Speed, the Blackrazor, and the Chronolometer inside a completed Orrery of the Wanderer and be carrying the Eagle Whistle. The Boots of speed double our speed for up to 10 minutes per long rest. The Blackrazor can cast Haste on us [double speed and one extra action (in this case Dash) per turn for 1 minute] and maintains concentration by itself. The Orrery of the Wanderer imparts one major beneficial property; one of which is +10 speed. And the Chronolometer's Time Bandit ability allows us once per day to roll a d6 at the beginning of our turn; if we roll a 1-3, it does essentially the same thing as Haste. The Eagle Whistle allows us to fly at double our movement speed for as long as we blow on the whistle.
The setup goes as follows:
UFC PPV's in HD $64.99 12x ESPN + $4.99 12x UFC Fight Pass $9.99 12x
= $959.64
ESPN's (Cable Package est) $90.00 12x
= $2039.64
that is, where it came from, and how it came to be revised significantly downward 25+ years after the fact?
I've been reading the WHO situation reports, which in my opinion is probably one of the safest sources of official numbers.
There is a lot of talk about possible lethality and how the disease will progress and of course possible exponential growth.
Now it is obvious that there is a time delay between patients showing up under confirmed case and then either being healed or entering the other statistic. This is why estimating the lethality from current numbers at about 2-3% cannot be anything but a lower bound number, because it essentially implies that all the currently confirmed would be healed.
Fitting a polynomal curve into the data set it depicts a rapid growth scenario but nowhere near exponential growth.
Of course this depends on a lot of factors.
Infection rate:
The main ones being the delay between becoming infected and then entering the confirmed case data set. The numbers we see right now are people who mostly were infected before the lockdown and quarantine on January 23. (Day 3 in the data set). During this time the virus still had the possibility to spread easily and unchecked.
With the quarantine in effect this is no longer the case so the rising rate of infection should start to decline.
Spread to other countries:
With the declaration of a public health emergency of international concern it is obvious that the WHO fears this as a possible scenario.
Keeping the disease in check in a region in China might be possible, but should it spread to other countries with less infrastructure the spread will continue but it is not possible to predict those numbers. As with SARS, a limited number of super spreaders can be instrumental in propagation.
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