Bernie bros, libertarians, and Marxists are going to form a weird coalition in the anti-authoritarian camp. This will coalesce quicker as 2A/freedom of speech rights get chipped away - libertarians will panic and decide to throw in their lot with the Yang gang.
Radlibs, neoliberals, and most of the American political establishment will fall in the authoritarian camp.
The latter party is inadvertently speeding up this process and increasing the proselytization of the former ideology by trying to silence them and alienating people from the political establishment. If there is ever a civil war in the US, it will be along these lines, not dems v. repubs.
Anyways, see you guys in the hate speech reeducation gulag.
1932 saw the Republicans routed and the ascendancy of the New Deal Coalition that would hold power for more than three decades. In 1968, Dixicrats aligned with Nixon and segregationist George Wallace leading to Humphrey only winning two former slave states, Maryland and Johnson's home state of Texas. Conservatives from both parties have held significant power since then even when comparatively liberal Democrats held the presidency.
This year we are seeing a tremendous shift making many states Trump won handily into potential battleground states for presidential electors and/or U.S. Senate seats.
Please discuss:
Is this a temporary phenomenon due to the singular polarization of Trump's presidency from which conservatism will bounce back as they did between Watergate and Reagan or is this a broader shift away from conservatism even in conservative bastions like the New Deal?
For the past 50-or-so years, the American South has, in general, voted reliably Republican on the Presidential level. There have been exceptions, such as Bill Clinton's two wins, but I think it's fair to say the South favors Republican candidates. There are numerous reasons for this, stemming from the famed "Southern Strategy" to current day policy; but many believe we may be starting to see a shift in this dynamic.
Posted just today by the WSJ (linked below, apologies for the paywall), the Biden campaign will be going after NC, GA, & TX more than any Democratic ticket in recent memory. Additionally, we are seeing Senate races in NC and GA become very competitive for Democrats (also in TX and SC if Democrats have a really, really good day). Plus with numerous House seats and state-level Congressional seats all over the South being fiercely targeting by left, are we beginning to see a movement away from Republicanism in the area?
Is there actual, genuine political shifting occurring? Or is all this just a flash-in-the-pan, as Democrats are taking advantage as much as they can with President Trump's unpopularity?
https://www.wsj.com/articles/democratsand-some-republicanssee-signs-of-political-realignment-in-the-south-11594978202
Were Nazism and fascism caused by the Great Depression? Or did their roots go further back to WWI?
Did the Great Depression cause any political shift in the US? FDR taking office is not what I am referring to, rather something more fundamental.
https://soundcloud.com/chapo-trap-house/468-judgment-night-11220
> Will: You know what would be a funny outcome, though? If Trump won re-election, or even if he loses, if he expands his share of the African-American and Latino vote this time around...
Felix: Well, the anti-racism training works! What do you want me to say?
Will: There was a Bloomberg article the other day about how a lot of Biden advisers are feeling pretty fucking nervous right now about the Latino vote in this country, or like based on early voting. Which, again, I mean, hard to read into, like, y'know, who votes early and who doesn't, but. I mean, again, that would torque up people's insanity. Like it would just, the cognitive dissonance there would really, it would break people even further than they are now. And by that, I mean like, people are already completely broken. [...] And here's the other thing, like. We've talked about how, certainly during the Democratic primary, the Democrats have absolutely tossed like the #MeToo movement into the fucking trashcan.
Matt: Buh-bye!
Will: And if they can safely cruise to this election with suburban white people back on their side, uh, Black Lives Matter is the next one to go overboard.
Matt: Oh, yeah. I mean, they already did that basically in the last few months. When there was the uprising in Philadelphia, Biden was immediately out to denounce looting and rioting, and it's like. Y'know, that's probably smart electorally, I gotta say. I mean, people say, "oh, you're going to depress leftist turnout," I mean...considering the coalition they seem to be assembling right now, it's like, he's made his choice. Y'know? There's no point in like swerving now trying to pick up some college kids, when you have been this successful at making inroads into like the more moneyed, like suburban, white, upper middle class. You're playing there well in these key suburbs. It keeps working. They're gonna keep doing that. And so, if that kind of police violence, that cycle of violence and uprising and reprisal continues, and there's no reason to believe it'll stop, I mean it really started under Obama, then yes. It'll, they'll absolutely have to slowly whittle away at Black Lives Matter as a concept.
Felix: Well, that
Prior to the 1960s, the New Deal coalition was largely in control of the government. However, the victory of Richard Nixon in 1968 along with the major social upheavals of the 1960s marked a change from the status quo and ushered in the last major party realignment of the country. Republicans began attracting more southern, working-class, and value-oriented voters, while these voters were taken away from the Democrats. In more recent years, the party lines between some of these groups have become less clear while others have galvanized.
Now, with the population that is old enough to remember the 1960s shrinking, and Republicans and Democrats alike becoming increasingly divided between their own moderate and radical factions, will another major party realignment happen? How will it happen and what will precipitate it?
Will a decisive victory (winning the presidency, the House, and the Senate) by the Democrats in November force Republicans to re-think their strategy moving forward in order to survive on the federal stage? The issues important to voters are rapidly changing.
Hi, everyone. It's looking like Biden is surging into a double-digit lead over Trump (who is rapidly imploding in on himself because as we all know he's extremely unwell and incompetent). So what happens to the Republican party post-Trump? What happens to the Democratic party tent, since it now includes some current and some former Republicans (both neo-cons and moderates), dem-socs, progressives, old-school liberals, centrists, would-be Green Party voters and even some reluctant libertarians??
#realignment2020
