So, from 1945 up until 1971, the Republic of China was considered the โReal Chinaโ by most United Nations Member States. However, in 1971, Taipei was forced to cede its seat on the security council to the PRC by a vote, and in recent years, more and more nations have begun to recognize the Beijing government as the โreal China.โ
I thought an interesting exercise would to be seeing what scenarios could happen in the future that could reverse this, somehow? I know weโre leaning into Alien Space Bat territory here, but I just wanna see what people come up with, that stays within the realm of possibility.
Recently, I made a prediction that when Ali Khamenei dies, the Islamic Republic will either have to substantially reform or will be overthrown. The regime is deeply unpopular, there is no obvious successor for the position of Ayatollah, the Assembly of Experts is dominated by moderates, and there have been tensions within the regime for several decades over the power of the Ayatollah, and I believe its highly unlikely they will want another absolute dictator. The constitution also outlines that the president is acting Ayatollah whilst a new one is being chosen, and I doubt the president at the time, who will likely be a reformist or moderate, would want to give the Revolutionary Guards too much power in chosing a successor.
Of course, the Revolutionary Guards will try to take over, but I think following the Green Movement and the recent protests, people would be extremely opposed to the corrupt RGC taking over the country, and with the reformists likely allying with the protestors in calling for mass protests and a general strike against the coup, they will likely be forced to offer substantial concessions and a new constitution.
So, I'm asking you, what kind of system would you like after the dissolution of the Islamist regime? The best system that will ensure human rights, democracy, economic prosperity, and social welfare?
Republic or Monarchy?
Unitary or Federal?
Parliamentary or Presidential?
Socialist or Capitalist?
From what I understand:
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The Romans founded their republic in 510 when overthrowing the king
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The Athenians transitioned from a monarchy to democracy over thee 6th century via Solon and other politicians
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Carthage transitioned to a Republic around 480 BC because they lost a battle badly in Sicily
They are all within close proximity to each other. I am sure that the Carthaginians had contact with the Greeks and learned their ideologies because they were at war with them. But did the Romans have contact with the Greeks or Carthaginians around 510 BC? Or was it just pure coincidence that the Romans also started a Republic around the same time as Carthage and Athens.
Forgive me if I am connecting dots that aren't there, but I just found it interesting that 3 of the main examples of democracy/republic before the modern era all occurred in the same time frame.
(We all know the metatextual reason for this: Because we can't have our protagonist killing the "good guys" of the series. But let's try to justify an in-universe reason).
An amoral bounty hunter like the Din Djarin doesn't seem like the kind of guy who would distinguish between which governments he's willing to kill the soldiers of, but when he was hired to break a prisoner out of a New Republic prison ship, he seemed genuinely distressed when he found out that it wasn't just staffed with droids, but that there was a human security guard working there. And he went to great pains to avoid killing the guy. Something tells me that if he was breaking into an Imperial prison to break someone out, he'd kill the security guard without hesitation.
Why the inconsistency? He won't kill New Republic soldiers, but he will kill Imperial stormtroopers who are also working for a "legitimate" government? (Though admittedly a failing one that used to terrorize the galaxy at the height of it's power).
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Data Sources for the Johns Hopkins Dashboard
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I find it interesting that Rome, Athens, Carthage and the Etruscans all transitioned to a republic or democracy (loosely) around the same time and they all were in close proximity to each other and had various interactions with each other.
Is it just chance that they all developed a similarish form of government around the same time? Did they happen independently or were they related at all?
As a follow up - the story of Rome transitioning to a republic is almost a direct replication of the story of Athens transitioning to a democracy. In both stories, a tyrant rapes a female and then is overthrown by the female's followers to form a new government. In fact, according to legend they both happened within 2-3 years of each other (509 BC vs 506 BC). Is this just coincidence or is it accepted that the Roman's borrowed the Greek myth?
