Catastrophe modeling on a house?

Can you run catastrophe modeling on a house? I am looking at a house right on the ocean in the northeast. I’ll be buying the appropriate insurance coverage (homeowners vetted for wind deductible and roof limitations, etc and NFIP) but I’d like to get an idea of the average annual loss (AAL) and PML to figure out if this is a good investment/how prone to loss from wind and surge it is over a long horizon. I know you can run CAT models on a large commercial scale but is there any models consumers can access to run their home through one? Thanks!

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πŸ‘€︎ u/krogerdaddy
πŸ“…︎ Sep 10 2021
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Are EARTHSS 17: Hurricanes, Tsunamis, and Other Catastrophes and EARTHSS 19: Introduction to Modeling the Earth System hard courses? (And if they involve math, what type of math is it?)
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Yelodi-Mellow
πŸ“…︎ Jul 22 2021
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Catastrophe Modeling

Hey guys, I am a fresh graduate applying for jobs and I came across a job ad on Catastrophe Modeling. I would like to know if it is still in the Actuarial realm or would I be veering off this path if I were to apply and successfully obtain the job.

Would appreciate some thoughts on this.

Thanks

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πŸ‘€︎ u/oraclewave
πŸ“…︎ May 12 2021
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Looking for resources on Catastrophe modeling in R

I am looking for resources and tutorials on catastrophe modeling in R, if anyone has any experience I would also like to ask some questions.

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πŸ‘€︎ u/shade81
πŸ“…︎ Feb 07 2021
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University of Arizona Modeling Shows Arizona Beyond Point of No Return: Only Crisis Or Untold Catastrophe. Michigan Will Follow This Same Path. static1.squarespace.com/s…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/c0viD00M
πŸ“…︎ Nov 29 2020
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Is anyone familiar with catastrophe modeling? What does the work entail? Can I get a entry level position with a geology degree? What skills are most important for the cat modeling?
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Ajstroze
πŸ“…︎ Oct 16 2020
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Does anyone have experience with Catastrophe Modeling (Validation)?

Hi all,

I just got an interview for Model Validation Analyst position. The main responsibility is to validate catastrophe models.

Since I’m a recent graduate, and I basically don’t know anything about this industry and this position. I’m wondering if anyone have some experience with catastrophe modeling or model validation? Could you please kindly give me more information about this industry and this position? Like, what knowledge and skills do I need to know to handle this job? Does this job require solid knowledge of machine learning and statistical models? Or do I need to be proficient in any programming language, python or R?

Thank you!!!

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πŸ‘€︎ u/dada33dada
πŸ“…︎ Feb 23 2021
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Does anybody here work in Catastrophe Modeling and what is it like?

As the title asks, does anybody here work in Catastrophe Modeling? What is it like? What tools do you use on a daily basis? How does it differ from other segments of actuarial science? I'm thinking about pursuing this down the road, but there isn't too much information online about this particular niche within the field

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Schveen15
πŸ“…︎ Nov 21 2013
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Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Catastrophe Risk Modeling - and Running for Your Life in the Pacific Northwest USA - by Claude Penland contingenciesonline.com/c…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/makes_widgets
πŸ“…︎ Jan 17 2016
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β€œNew modelling from the Feds. Things are not looking good for Manitoba if Delta continues to grow, and catastrophic if Omicron is allowed to take over Delta.” twitter.com/terriandtots/…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Armand9x
πŸ“…︎ Dec 11 2021
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Unreliable Computer Models Underpin Catastrophic Climate Forecasts climatechangedispatch.com…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/greyfalcon333
πŸ“…︎ Jan 13 2022
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Potential story of the week in the next few days our best hurricane forecast models are shifting West with hurricane Henri indicating a catastrophic NorthEast landfall could be imminent
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Whered_u_go128
πŸ“…︎ Aug 18 2021
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This is Dr Crowley Crow he's another character I made for my platformer... believe it or not I took inspiration from the ARG About a Lost Unfinished N64 Game called Catastrophe Crow or also known as Crow 64... I may have touched up the model's textures here and there just a tiny bit...
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πŸ‘€︎ u/raymanfanguy
πŸ“…︎ Oct 15 2021
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2014 Model S - Catastrophic Battery Failure

Hi All

I woke one morning last week to a car with zero battery % and it was so dead, the charge port would not open.

Couple of days later Tesla confirm it was a complete battery failure which is covered under warranty. Mileage was 118k km for those interested. I'm told it will take 3 weeks to replace.

Couple of questions:

  • Tesla are not providing a loaner car (Ireland). Is this standard?

  • The car is 85kw battery. Do Tesla have these in stock or so we get a new / reconditioned battery?

  • 3 week timeline. Anyone else with experience if that's accurate?

  • What is the warranty on the battery when it's replaced? (I'll be checking when I get the car back anyway)

I'm considering a trade in, should I ask Tesla for a quote before the battery is replaced? Would they consider the replacement cost and try to make it worth my while to trade in?

Thanks!

Edit: mileage is not 118km, it's 118k km

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Feidhlim77
πŸ“…︎ Apr 20 2021
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The Media Can’t Handle the Climate Truth: Even IPCC Admits that Catastrophic Scenarios They Were Dooming About Just 2 Years Ago Are Highly Unlikely to Happen - Because Climate Models Are Not Infallible wsj.com/articles/media-cl…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/surveillance_alt
πŸ“…︎ Sep 04 2021
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Toy Gigan and Toy Fredzilla have come to cause catastrophe! stop their terror in the newest FNaF AR event! {Credits: Fredzilla by FreddleFrooby, main model edits by me, additional aid from Vomfee} reddit.com/gallery/lwkkg5
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πŸ‘€︎ u/NightFoxStudios65
πŸ“…︎ Mar 03 2021
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I haven't built a model since, well, Godzilla 1985. This may be a glorious catastrophe...
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πŸ‘€︎ u/ZannD
πŸ“…︎ Jul 23 2021
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Ontario's latest COVID-19 modelling 'catastrophic,' doctor says cbc.ca/news/canada/toront…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/FancyNewMe
πŸ“…︎ Apr 17 2021
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How Western Failures Are Fueling China’s Rise -- Emboldened by the 2008 financial crisis and now America's catastrophic handling of the covid pandemic, Beijing is offering its political model as a thriving alternative to the democratic model of the West -- Bloomberg Quicktake youtube.com/watch?v=DXVg0…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/jingyan4
πŸ“…︎ Jul 02 2021
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[Serious] A global catastrophe destroys capitalism as we know it. You're in charge of building a new socio-economic and political model. What's your plan?
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πŸ‘€︎ u/bigjoffer
πŸ“…︎ Mar 01 2021
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[Jason Torchinsky] One Week-Old Tesla Model X Has Catastrophic Suspension Failure And The Resulting Twitter Feed Is As Bad As You'd Think jalopnik.com/one-week-old…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/digistil
πŸ“…︎ Jul 31 2020
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How the Gates Foundation seeded America's COVID-19 policy catastrophes: ""There's only one model that we look at that has the number of projected deaths which is the IHME model which is funded by the Gates Foundation," Cuomo said on April 2." dossier.substack.com/p/ho…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/thinkinanddrinkin
πŸ“…︎ Feb 16 2021
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UK shifts plan as "scientific modelling showed we were on course for a catastrophic epidemic" bbc.co.uk/news/uk-5192044…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/thatguyscouse
πŸ“…︎ Mar 17 2020
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Our Tesla Model 3 Suffered a Catastrophic Failure While Parked caranddriver.com/news/a30…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/lovely_sombrero
πŸ“…︎ Dec 30 2019
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β€œIn conclusion our model shows that a catastrophic collapse in human population, due to resource consumption, is the most likely scenario of the dynamical evolution based on current parameters.β€œ reddit.com/r/climatechang…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/komunjist
πŸ“…︎ Jun 15 2020
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I've never wished so much for a model to be wrong. The results from the CIDE-Stanford Covid Model for Mexico City are frightening and point to a catastrophic beginning of 2021 twitter.com/MGF91/status/…
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πŸ“…︎ Dec 24 2020
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[OC] I drew Link as an old man a couple of years ago. Some weeks ago I started toying with the idea of a title where he has to travel back in time to save Hyrule from an eventual catastrophe from his timeline and modelled him in 3D using Blender. What do you think?
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πŸ‘€︎ u/dlshs
πŸ“…︎ Mar 02 2020
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One Week-Old Tesla Model X Has Catastrophic Suspension Failure And The Resulting Twitter Feed Is As Bad As You'd Think jalopnik.com/one-week-old…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Zorkmid123
πŸ“…︎ Jul 31 2020
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Thoughts on Geospatial Intelligence vs Catastrophe Modelling

Hi Folks,

I will be applying to/interviewing for position in these two industries, among others. The intelligence position is with Leidos as a Geospatial Analyst and will come with a secret security clearance. The modelling jobs, which I know is only GIS adjacent, will be with a few insurance/reinsurance companies.

Does anyone have ideas of the career growth potentials and other considerations of these professions?

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πŸ‘€︎ u/Javelin901
πŸ“…︎ May 14 2021
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Climate Models Are Running Red Hot, and Scientists Don’t Know Why. Multiple research teams are now forecasting that the planet will heat up more catastrophically than previously anticipated bnnbloomberg.ca/climate-m…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Galileo__Humpkins
πŸ“…︎ Feb 04 2020
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Climate Models Are Running Red Hot, and Scientists Don’t Know Why. Multiple research teams are now forecasting that the planet will heat up more catastrophically than previously anticipated bnnbloomberg.ca/climate-m…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/Wagamaga
πŸ“…︎ Feb 03 2020
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Ontario's latest COVID-19 modelling 'catastrophic,' doctor says cbc.ca/news/canada/toront…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/toronto_news
πŸ“…︎ Apr 18 2021
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BBC newsnight reporting that modelling was presented at COBRA meeting today, suggesting UK is moving towards a "catastrophic epidemic" which could lead to 260,000 deaths. v.redd.it/4l8dsvsh64n41
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πŸ‘€︎ u/d1ndeed
πŸ“…︎ Mar 16 2020
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Why I sold my Tesla Model 3 Performance & went back to gas

I owned a 2019 Tesla Model 3 Performance for roughly two years and 15,000 miles. I'm going to distill my key learnings and experiences here, in an attempt to educate others on EVs and reach some form of closure. My ownership could best be summed-up as a love/hate relationship, ending with crazy used car values offering me the out I'd been quietly seeking. Clearly, I decided EVs aren't for me - at least, not yet. I'm not a "paid big oil shill" or someone who's trying to short the stock, as I'm sure some of the Tesla nuts will claim. I'm just a car enthusiast (disclaimer: not an engineer) standing at the same crossroads as the rest of you, wondering what sounds future children will make long after (if?) our beloved bureaucrats outlaw the ICE.

Everything I'm writing here is based on my own unique tastes and preferences. How the pros and cons balance out at the end is entirely up to you. And that's fine. Choice is great. Note that this post centers on Battery EVs (BEVs) at the time of this writing, which comprise the vast majority of EVs on the road today.

And yeah. This got way longer than I anticipated. But it was cathartic for me and I hope it's at least somewhat useful to someone out there.

EV performance & its accessibility

I'll start with what ultimately sold me on the car - Immense, instant power. The war in the "pure acceleration" category is pretty much over - just take a look at Jason Cammisa's video with the Model S Plaid vs. the BMW M5 CS and Cadillac Crazy. They're not even on the same planet. Not only is the acceleration brutal, but it's consistent (everything else held constant - more on that later). Look up any number of 0 - 60 videos on YouTube, and you'll notice that the times are all remarkably close, especially if there are multiple runs in the same video.

And how could they not be? Software and traction control are fundamental to EV operation. Adjustments take mere milliseconds. The amount of "stuff" involved between your right foot and the tires is a joke compared to an ICE car. And it's basically idiot-proof - even with the Track Mode dialed to 100% hoon in my TM3P, it was nearly impossible to make a mistake. You just put your foot down and the car takes care of the rest, with literally zero drama.

Electric motors are great

And all of this performance comes with no mechanical sympathy. I never felt an ounce of it, flogging my Model 3 - there's really nothing to "break" mechanically in the way of the drivetrain. The ent

... keep reading on reddit ➑

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πŸ‘€︎ u/DegradingBattery
πŸ“…︎ Dec 31 2021
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Our Tesla Model 3 Suffered a Catastrophic Failure While Parked caranddriver.com/news/a30…
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πŸ‘€︎ u/dcmix5
πŸ“…︎ Dec 30 2019
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"In two months 10k PORTUGUESE WILL DIE, as many as up to now". "University tells the worse is yet to come". Catastrophic mathematical models are alive and well, and people will eat them without question, embracing the strictest lockdown with 1000€ fines for going for a walk without your papers
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πŸ‘€︎ u/alonsodelusitania
πŸ“…︎ Jan 23 2021
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