348 is the scaled peak from the Delta wave for NSW, but they've smashed that now.
We're in real trouble having already hit 113 154 so far. We have a doubling time of about 2.6 2.4 days, and at current pace we'll smash even NSW's total from today in the next 6-7 5-6 days.
We're fucked, and our failed Premier is just pretending it's all fine. On past trends, hospitalisations should start spiking in the next 5-10 days too.
I hope everyone has a good Christmas and New Years eve.
Edit: Early reports were wrong, it's actually 154 cases. Numbers changed above as a result. We're in deep shit, and they keep trying to pretend we're not. What is the end game here?
Double Edit: We're on track for 1000 by the 27th, and 2500 by New Year. That's 4600 and 12k by the NSW comparison. They are downplaying the rate this is spreading at, and we have the superspreader even of the year coming up in Christmas, and the runner up in the day-night test just finished.
I'm very curious to see what the plan is here. I suspect they're trying to delay panic until after Christmas.
- https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/nov/12/thirteen-day-160km-hiking-trail-opens-in-victorias-grampians-national-park
Excerpts:
>* Connecting some of the park’s most spectacular peaks, the Grampians Peaks Trail is a 13-day/12-night journey starting at Mt Zero and travelling south over the ranges that make up Gariwerd and ending in the town of Dunkeld, 270km west of Melbourne.
>* “This project has been in the pipeline for well over 20 years from the first idea, so today is a milestone,” said Tammy Schoo, the acting area chief manager for the Grampians national park.
>* The trail has 11 bookable campsites and for most of its length is a grade 4 walk with steep climbs and descents.
