We HAVE to make 15% of caucus goers in Iowa balloting for Andrew on February 3rd.
ETA: This is NOT the same as 15% in polls. Read below. In theory what we need is ~1.5% of Iowans be dedicated enough to caucus for Yang. Not as easy as it sounds but possibly easier than 15% in polls considering the dedication of being yang gang vs the followers of other candidates.
Polls only reflect what certain Democrat voters think. For the caucus, converted former Trump voters and independents and people that haven't voted before can also participate.
The world is a different place thanks to the Internet, than just 8 or even 4 years ago with gen Z now being over 18, so who knows how important making the debates really is.
In 2016 there were 171709 people casting ballots for Democrats in the caucus. So, say there's 200k this year, we'd need 30k Iowans supporting Andrew. There are about 3 million Iowans total (ETA: 22.6% are younger than 18), so that means we need 1% (that are all 18 or older) to believe in Yang strongly enough to caucus for him. This is where the dedication of YangGang comes into play, though I'm not sure how big the Iowa YangGang is? An unengaged Biden supporter is probably less likely to caucas than a dedicated Yang supporter?
I don't know the system that well at all, but this is what I gather. Does anyone here know it better?
I'd like to get more educated on this subject, so please correct me if I'm saying something wrong or using the wrong vocabulary.
Day after day after day we can read complains about the price lagging, the ratio bleeding, and some altcoin performing better. So here's an idea:
In his bestseller book The Tipping Point published in 2000, Macolm Gladwell defines a tipping point as "the moment of critical mass, the threshold, the boiling point".
The notion he develops is that for idea or product to spread like wildfire, only a few key parameters must be met.
Here, I'd like to apply his findings to the case of Ethereum.
1) The Law of the Few
"The success of any kind of social epidemic is heavily dependent on the involvement of 3 groups of people with a particular and rare set of social gifts":
- Connectors are the people in a community who know large numbers of people and who are in the habit of making introductions. A connector is essentially the social equivalent of a computer network hub. They usually know people across an array of social, cultural, professional, and economic circles, and make a habit of introducing people who work or live in different circles.
Right from its inception, Ethereum widened the array of its partnerships to the maximum. Even if controversial, partnerships with JPM, Hyperledger, and Polkadot exist for this exact reason: the more partners, the more connectors.
Early on, Vitalik positioned Ethereum at the center, and Ethereum remained at the center.
Here we're not good. We're the best.
- Mavens are "information specialists", or "people we rely upon to connect us with new information". They accumulate knowledge, especially about the marketplace, and know how to share it with others. "A Maven is someone who wants to solve other people's problems, generally by solving his own"
We, the Ethereum community, are mavens. Aside from developers, we're the knowledgeable ones. We care about the news, inform new members, and we want everybody to benefit from Ethereum's decentralization, and to make money with us.
Ethereum has by far the biggest "non shill community". That's why anyone who posts anything that's pro-eth, but even partially BS, will be called out in a matter of minutes.
Here we're not good. We're the best.
- Salesmen are "persuaders", charismatic people with powerful negotiation skills. They tend to have an indefinable trait that goes beyond what they say, which makes others want to agree with them.
Think Joseph Lubin, Pa
... keep reading on reddit ➡credit to u/catgirl_apocalypse
Speech in question https://www.justice.gov/opa/speech/attorney-general-william-p-barr-delivers-remarks-law-school-and-de-nicola-center-ethics:
People really underestimate how religious Barr is. Everyone assumes he’s in it for himself or the party since he’s best known for his work as a fixer during the Bush I era, and he’s been actively assisting Trump with his criminality.
That’s not why he’s in the Trump admin.
His goal with Donald Trump is to establish, through precedent, an Imperial Presidency under the Unitary Executive Theory.
He wants Trump to push the boundaries and make the President essentially invincible, so that this power can be used by a future ultra-conservative Republican who reigns as an enlightened Christian philosopher king.
He laid out his vision in the address I’ve linked, given at Notre Dame last month. This speech has not been given enough attention.
As you can see, Barr believes that religious freedom is and should be a priority at Justice.
That sounds fine. America was founded on religious freedom, right?
The thing you need to understand is this.
The radical religious right has a different definition of “Religious Freedom”.
We extend full freedom to religion so long as it doesn’t interfere with other people’s rights and, and generally fits into the modern world as it exists in western, liberal democracies.
What Barr and his ilk mean when they say “religious freedom” is the freedom from anything that contradicts, interferes with, or is unacceptable within the bounds of their religion. This movement assumes as first principles that:
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Christianity is objectively correct
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Christianity is the default religion of the United States
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The Framers intended to create a Christian government
We have set up a task force within the Department with different components that have equities in this area, including the Solicitor General’s Office, the Civil Division, the Office of Legal Counsel, and other offices. We have regular meetings. We keep an eye out for cases or events around the country where states are misapplying the Establishment Clause in a way that discriminates against people of faith, or cases where states adopt laws that impinge upon the free exercise of religion.
What he’s talking about here when he talks about “misapplying the Establishment Clause in a way that discriminate against people of faith” he’s referring to things like Masterpiece cake shops or the funeral home case
... keep reading on reddit ➡I'm happy crying. This could be it. UBI is going mainstream. So proud of Andrew and the Gang. Even though a crisis is the catalyst....this could be the tipping point.
There are five main characteristics, according to Finnemore and Sikkink, that will make it more likely that a certain norm will reach the “tipping point”. The tipping point, as the name suggest, is when a certain norm is just beginning to be broadly accepted. A tipping point always results in rapid adaption by states or individuals. For more information, you can read my previous post.
A. Legitimation
Domestic turmoil or wishing to improve the national reputation may lead to a norm being adapted. For example, Dana Eyre and Mark Suchman argue, that [so-called] “developing states” may adopt high-tech weaponry out of status concerns, rather than from a warfighting calculus.
Speciesism offers the following argument: All kinds of violence and oppression are rooted in the justification by the "differentness" of another being. A non-speciesist society is therefore always non-racist, non-sexist etc. To be non-speciesist could therefore legitimate the morally considerate non-violent identity of a state. Applied to individuals, a person might want to legitimize a non-violent identity by being vegan. A religious leader could go that path as well, we'll see.
B. Prominence
This comes down to the quality of the states promoting the norm: Norms held by states widely viewed as successful and desirable models are thus likely to become prominent and diffuse.
The top ten countries by the percentage of vegans are (in order): Israel, Sweden, Japan, Poland, US, UK, Germany, Italy, Finland and Spain. (source http://veganbits.com/vegan-demographics-2017/ )
Germany, Sweden, US, UK, Finland, Japan, Israel, Spain, Italy, Poland (in order) are well above 0,86 in the Human Development Index.
You can definitely view this from a sustainability standpoint. Very often, Northern European States (especially the Scandinavian states) are praised for sustainable technologies. And Veganism is an immensely sustainable lifestyle. If sustainability becomes a trend, states or individuals would want to follow it to legitimate a certain reputation.
Applied to individuals, if a religious leader, a president or a famous person becomes vegan, it will make it more likely that people will follow.
C. Intrinsic characteristics of the norm
The
... keep reading on reddit ➡MIT research team called the Club of Rome developed a comprehensive & complex model of the world & it's future due to human civilization. The program was called World One. Its goal was to look at the world as one system & predict it's future based on human impact.
Would love to hear everyone's thoughts on this.
WTF are you doing on a quiz show?!
I'll be looking into getting a used car soon - I'm just wondering if there's a point where it can be "too used"? Should I be looking at 3 year old? 5? at what point does the risk/reward tip into the red?
Currently reading
The Tipping Point, by Malcolm Gladwell
I like this book, but I'm torn. It's very engaging and I find myself turning pages like a madman. However, I'm not sure. I get the feeling - especially during the final pages of the book, where I'm at right now - that Gladwell (while a great writer) does popular science-ify his writing a little bit too much. I would describe the flow of the book like this:
- Interesting introduction to the topic of tipping points
- Introducing the concepts of connectors and other personality types
- Bringing up very diverse examples of interesting stuff that is related to, but also seem distant to, the topic of the book
- Trying to tie everything together at the end and declare "This is the theory of tipping points"
- Failing to convince me, probably because I don't buy the "here's a theory" due to lack of... scientific method?
I don't know. Again, the book is intriguing and I read the whole thing in a short period of time. Will probably rate it a 4 out of 5. But it seems like it's travelling very far out on the
>science --- popular science
scale, while still presenting itself as solid science (not an explicit claim, more of my gut feeling).
What do you guys feel about <i>The Tipping Point</i> or Gladwell's writing in general? Maybe I should try reading another one of his titles after I finish this one.
If you're anything like me, you immerse yourself into the world of Fallout. A few months ago, I dusted FO4 off, after years of absence, only to rediscover my love of the Commonwealth.
But, with renewed satisfaction comes renewed OCD tendencies and the perpetuity to restart. And restart. And then restart again. A new build. A slight tweak. A different approach. My character looks hideous in the daylight outside of the vault. Whatever the reason, I'll find one.
But it's the WHEN that's most fascinating to me. Like clockwork, I second guess, get bored, or otherwise find a reason to restart, with few exceptions, around level 20. I feel like at this point, the character is well rounded, and I've either a) spent so much time exploring the north half of the map that I haven't really accomplished anything - other than feeling a sense of "completionist" satisfaction, or b) I've sped through the main story and don't love that I haven't immersed myself into my more explorative tendencies.
If you're out there, like me, and share in this "condition", let's talk about it. What is it about Fallout, Skyrim, etc. that does this to us? How do we push through and avoid the urge to "try something new"?
Don't mind me, I'm just off to start a new build...
for me was that Kellee had a direct conversation with Dan in the FIRST episode. She told him what the problem was and he kept doing what he was doing anyway. His assertion that no one talked to him was a flat out LIE and suggests he’s a bit of a sociopath. (Then he had the audacity to mock her after she was voted out. Talk about tone deaf. He should get help.) One other bone to pick. The producers are responsible for the well-being of the contestants. If they observe unacceptable behavior it shouldn’t matter who says what to them, they should have done the right thing and canned Dan. He kept repeating the same behavior and clearly just did not get it. Since they’re filming this stuff and saw what was happening, the “warning” should have come sooner and maybe it could have been nipped in the bud more quickly. Also if I’m an employer and I know one of my employees is behaving in an abusive way to another employee, I have to prevent that behavior from continuing regardless of whether someone with less power asks me to. At the end of the day I am in charge and therefore am responsible for doing what’s necessary. Same for the producers of this show.
Howdy all, and sorry if this isn't the right place to ask.
It seems like it wasn't that long ago that the F-35 was considered by many (or even most, based on the sources I was reading) to be a complete cost-overrun disaster which the program could never recover from. Now I'm reading the exact opposite fairly regularly, most recently in this thread where the F-35 is apparently the absolute frontrunner from the standpoint of cost. My question is: What has happened in the last few years to cause this transition or the perception of it? Thanks!
I've been curious about this for a while, and now that Apple is coming out with ANC earbuds, i'm curious if this is due to BOSE's patents expiring, or some new discovery in ANC tech that is better than what BOSE had.
Zac. He had an absolute howler with his two "specialist" subjects. I started feeling sorry for him but then realised he shouldn't have been so cocky about it.
I hope he learns from this and can move on with his life.
BCHer's, have heart! It is your dedication to using BCH and spreading the word that will help bring monetary freedom to the world!
I was looking at Marco Coino earlier today - there are a few locations in the world where BCH really seems to be taking off: Ljubljana, Slovenia (229 merchants) Caracas, Venezuela (200 merchants) Townsville, Australia (62 merchants) Tokyo, Japan (45 merchants)
I'm super impressed at how international this effort is! The common factor in each city must be a passionate and dedicated group who is encouraging adoption and selling the benefits of BCH, namely the incredibly fast and cheap transactions.
My heart goes out to Venezuelans for whom BCH is filling a vital need.
Great job to the people driving adoption! You are an inspiration to me to push adoption in my own city, where sadly, there is very little BCH activity.
Remember: spend and replace!
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