Hi,

I'm trying to find some helpful statistic that could tell me if I have a regression in my data.

The inputs I have:

• 2 (very) small datasets of values measured the same way. Those do not necessarily have the same amount of values not the same distribution (hence the non-parametric tests mentioned later)
• The standard deviation caused by the measurements (the tool is known) ie: if I always repeat the same test in the same conditions, I know how it deviates.

What I need to know is:

• Is one of the datasets yielding bigger values than the other (regression)
• If yes, how confident can I be that an actual regression happens?

I found the one-tailed versions of Mann Whitney U-test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test , but since I don't have a lot of values in my samples, I am not sure how I could use them with the fact I know the standard deviation of the measurements.

My issue is that none of the implementations I found return the same results when using just a few values. Some will always return pvalue=1 whatever the values, others will happily ignore the issue (pvalue close to 0 even with only 1 value per sample).

Could you point me into the right direction for solving this problem ?

Hello,

Given two gambles A and B and their relative cumulative distribution functions, is it possible for A to second-order stochastically dominate B without first-order stochastically dominating B? If so, what is an example of this? I have tried to come up with one but just can't for the life of me see how integral(CDFB(x)) > integral(CDFA(x)) for all x without CDFB(x) >CDFA(x) for all x as well :/

Thanks in advance.

Is it better to have 100 chances to win or 50 chances that are twice as lucky? Seems even but is it or is there a theory if it isn't? Like how a coin flip is not 50/50.

*Edit: Also the lottery runs constantly at the same interval and the tickets never expire.

TLDR: Norskkk is a bunch of Thoraboos being Grifted by a French-Canadian claiming to be Norwegian with a bunch of stuff that will radicalize people to dangerously far-right ideologies.

To begin, an obligatory “Fuck Norskk” (hereafter to be referred to as Norskkk for connotative reasons)

For reference I will be using their term “Viking” to describe the wider Norse culture as they use it interchangeably and it makes it easiest should anyone wish to search their several sites for the articles I will be discussing.

It is also ESSENTIAL that you understand this is not a matter of theology. I don't think Norskkk is "worshipping wrong", I don't think they are worshipping at all. Nowhere in any of their sites does it mention reciprocity, the gifting cycle, the Tree and Well, or even basic concepts such as Frith and Wyrd. Instead they simply use the imagery, the the verbage, use the aesthetic, while projecting their own warped worldview.

Norskkk is a male-centric Norse-pagan grifting network run by Christopher Fragassi (sometimes known by the moniker Bjornsen). I first came across them years ago when I was looking more deeply into Norse and Germanic Paganism. I have taken the dive many times to point out specific flaws in their rhetoric, history, ideology, and general nonsense, today I am giving a short (yes, this is the condensed version) exploration of them so that you can understand some of the problems and be aware of them moving forward. This partial deconstruction, like a night of passion, comes in several parts.

Part 1 – The (a)Historicity

While many of us consider ourselves knowledgeable and well-read, and many more seek to become such themselves, Norskkk claims to be a teacher despite being foolishly ignorant. Unfortunately I will not get a chance to be a grammatical nitpicker of their information as there are just too many poorly translated terms and words to be able to speak on anything else, nor will I get a chance to delve into their hideously twisted and warped projections of Norse Myth.

On their various websites (not linked, because I believe their content to be genuinely less than worthless, though you are more than capable of finding them) you will find a variety of articles covering a range of ancient and modern topics including (but not limited to) Valhol, Vaccines, Horned Helmets, hair and beards, the roles of Disabled peoples, Cheese (I’m not kidding), drugs, shamanism, circumcision, ethnopurity, dietary constraints, marriage, Loki,

Overview

· On-chain analysis BTC

· Trade set-up in STX

· Crowdloan guide: Moonbeam

· NOOBIES: 4 Year Price Cycle

Market Update

· Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover around the 60K support level dipping as low as 58.5K. Price has repeatedly visited this support level since the break of 60K on Oct 15. Alts have mostly taken advantage of the ranging price in BTC.

· Avalanche (AVAX) is up 8% while most major smart contract platforms are struggling. AVAX gained 96% since BTC entered its current range on OCT 15. Sentiment is rising for AVAX and signs of the retail crowd are appearing. This could be a good interpretation that AVAX may be oversold.

· ETH and BTC Dominance are both up to 19.54% and 44.03% as money is trickling in from risker positions.

· Total Market Cap (TOTAL) is holding steady at 2.56 trillion.

· Gaming and Metaverse tokens are holding strong.

RNDER +31%

SAND +7%

RFOX +11%

NTVK +12%

MANA -.30%

Insight

The market seems to be awaiting the next move. Signs of a strong rebound are currently not present. Let’s move to explore what is happening under the hood and try to lay out some possibilities. A good place to start is with on-chain analysis.

Long term holders (+155 Days) are typically considered the smart money and have a history of ignoring small corrections. They typically have more tools and resources available to make market decisions. The chart below filters out the insight of this cohort.

https://preview.redd.it/uxctqkpw5a081.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=98fdc5f2c12b233d13ae7264a57b7777ad25da4a

Looking at the chart we see that the dip has little effect on long term holders. During market tops and high-risk areas is when long term holders will typically begin selling strongly as indicated by the Long Term SOPR line.

Tracking BTC reserves on exchanges is another good tool to see when the market is selling as participants onload their tokens to trade.

https://preview.redd.it/v48aovwx5a081.png?width=624&format=png&auto=webp&s=666df5b45290b22a8b40a6a56ac16dd73f91ffe3

The chart indicates reserves have been holding steady after months of strong outflow. We also see they are at a noticeable low and in a continues downtrend for the year. The low supply on exchanges can eventually translate to higher prices as BTC resources begin to decrease if demand stays persistent. There are no indications of a large sell-off, but a larger dip is still possible. In the next report we’ll e

In Update 3.4.0, a small change was added to the middle-tree Sunbreaker's Roaring Flames ability, which made it less powerful in conjunction with the Wormgod Caress exotic. Some feared this meant the end of melee-focused builds on Sunbreaker being the dominant choice, but the change had a very small effect on the build.

In fact, you can still hit visual damage cap of 999,999 with it!

Imgur: Link

Now while many dismiss this build as gimmicky and only viable in low-level content, I use it in everything from public events to GM Nightfalls, and it is incredibly fun everywhere! It's been incredibly useful for quick bursts of damage at the start of damage phases in the new dungeon too, quickly shaving ~400k damage off of either boss if all timed right. And mods like Protective Light and several of the Elemental Well mods make survivability a non-issue so long as you still have targets to nail with easy 6-digit damage!

I will also preface the description of this build with the fact that it feels and acts completely different based on whether your charged/uncharged melees are bound to the same action or not. This build is much easier to utilize if your melees are bound to separate actions, and so if you are in a position to do so, I highly recommend you do.

The Build:

For damage:

• Roaring Flames - Intrinsic perk on Middle-Tree Sunbreaker, buffs your Solar ability kills upon getting Solar ability kills. Stacks to 3, lasts 20 seconds and timer refreshes with new kills.
• Burning Fists - Buff from Wormgod Caress Exotic Arms. Increases melee damage for each stack, stacks are gained upon melee kills. Maxes out at ~9x melee damage at x5 stacks.
• One-Two Punch - Shotgun perk which grants a temporary 3x melee damage buff if all pellets fired in a shot hit a target.

The strategy in nearly any scenario is to find 5+ closely packed weak mobs and build your stacks off of them, but if less, 3-4 stacks of Burning Fists can still offer a certified CHONK on damage.

• If you have your charged/uncharged melee bounds separated, you can easily build Roaring Flames and Burning Fists at once by throwing the hammer at the mobs from point blank, immediately recovering it for another throw.
• If both melees are on a single bind, then this build is still v

I have no education in Finance whatsoever, I am just someone on the internet who likes maths and hard problems. Thus, I will also focus more on the maths side, because I am rather smooth regarding accounting, legal or trading topics.

This post is a little rushed. I wanted to be more thorough, but especially since u/gherkinit and u/Criand referred to u/Zinko83 (my brother in arms since the beginning of my quant journey; I do the math shit, he does the modeling using a commercial toolbox) and myself multiple times by now, the interest in my previous posts and our blowing-up inboxes prompted us to pump this out now. And while I am writing this, Zinko rushed on me as well. If you've read my Cheatsheet, please be aware that some of the opinions I expressed there I no longer consider to be perfectly accurate. I apologize that I wasn't really active on Reddit much, but I promise that I'll at least try to get back to everyone who contacted me or had questions since my last post.

This post will clean up with many beliefs I've seen apes express even until recently. However, it is not a bear thesis, so I guess no $1100 bounty for me. Instead, we believe that it can serve as a unifying theory for many idiosyncracies and weirdnesses we were able to observe.

You can find some of our sources at the end of this post.

If you are ape that cannot read, look for text in italics, at least until the GME section.

Introduction

Ever since the January Sneeze, many people wondered where short interest on the stock went, why there was this incredible open interest, especially in far OTM puts (but also calls), how HFs like Melvin Capital, who claimed to have closed their short positions, managed to sustain losses afterwards, and how a gigawhale like Citadel could be threatened by a short position in essentially one idiosyncratic stock.

It was speculated that this was due to naked short selling, and since there was a missing explanation for the far OTM puts it was speculated that these were used to hide naked shorts.

However, not-so-recent theories argued that SHFs were, in fact, not naked short, but unloaded their bags onto Market Makers and Prime Brokers instead. I believe that to be true and will also be providing a mechanism that allows them to stay naked based on deemed-to-own regulations.

Many of the things that happened this year can be explained by players like Citadel Advisors being short variance swaps. Variance swaps can explain pretty much the e

Thank you all for the awards and great feedback on my last analysis!

Encouraged by some of you, I decided to share more of my thoughts. Below you can find an update on Technical Analysis for Bitcoin and SafeMoon + possible scenarios for Nov and Dec 2021 (link) plus some thoughts on Stochastic RSI.

Enjoy!

___

1. Bitcoin

So, as per my last post, you can see that in 2013 BTC had two big bull runs. For both of them, the RSI went above the 70 level up to almost 100. After that there was a correction. These are weekly candles.

BTC 2013 weekly

Now, as for the BTC charts, 2021 seems very similar to 2013. Below you can see this year's bull market.

BTC 2021 weekly

IF the similar scenario will actually happen, then we can expect BTC to achieve its ATH in December. Note that the RSI is almost crossing 70 level. What we want to see is RSI crossing it and heading towards 100. The, we can expect a correction.

2. SafeMoon

The fact is that charts will never tell you exactly what will happen, when to buy and when to sell. What the can do though, is to help us increase the chances of maximising gains. And I think that Stochastic RSI may actually be helpful in case of identifying buying opportunities.

Here you can read more about stochastic RSI.

Basically, the stochastic formula is used to compare the closing price to its price range to predict price turning points. Through the formula, traders can identify whether the RSI values are overbought or oversold.

Below you can see SafeMoon daily chart. I marked 7 data points where Stochastic RSI is below 20.

SafeMoon 2021daily

Note: remember that it is unwise to base your trades on one indicator or even the whole TA. One news can change EVERYTHING.

Nevertheless, it seems like Stock RSI on daily candles is a promising tool for indicating where to buy. In many cases the gains are +10% in some of them even +100%.

What is important

This list is created for people who:

• Do Banshee bounties daily and want to have every weapon for bounty in hand
• Want to use their favorite exotic more often, while not compromising on everything else
• Want to make searching for match game weapons easier
• Are in the Vault500™ club and want to leave for a simpler life
• Need some legendary shards real quick, but don't have them
• Want to masterwork, but don't know what's worth it
• Maximize damage on elemental burns for optimal speedruns
• Are doing preparations for WQ

This list is mostly just to clean up your vault. And to ease up your mind to make the choice what you really need and what you never use, because there are better options. This is a list of every legendary non-sunset weapon that performs well in all PvE. There are a lot of different options, so I included everything worth your while. I am not listing all of the good perks that come on the weapons, because the post would be 3 times longer. If you want to know what the best perks are, there are a lot of videos on YT covering these weapons and their god rolls. But I will write down some desirable perks, that you should be looking for on every weapon class.

NOTE: I will also indicate if the weapon isn't the best, but can still perform good if you don't have the best option as honorable mention. There are some weapons that come only as an event weapon or are hard to get because of the source or are just unobtainable. As "hard to obtain" are weapons hard to get a good roll to a "casual" solo player. This includes Trials, Iron Banner, raid, dungeon, world, playlist and event weapons. This also includes weapons from the dreaming city, as they cannot be target farmed. And there are also weapons that just aren't currently obtainable (Summoner), or had their perk pools changed so they don't have as good perks as they used to have, as some really good weapons are still really good.

• "()" - Honorable mention, not ideal weapon or possible perks
• "*" - Hard to obtain weapon or the target perk combo on said weapon
• "**" - weapon or good perk combo on said weapon no longer obtainable (weapon not available or new perk pool)

Edit: Thanks for all the support so far. As I expected there are some great weapons that I have forgot and left out. I considered the master content capability a little too much and left out some generally great options. Most notably in kinetic slot, where almost half of primaries live. I originally tried to make list sho

I don't want to step on anybody's toes here, but the amount of non-dad jokes here in this subreddit really annoys me. First of all, dad jokes CAN be NSFW, it clearly says so in the sub rules. Secondly, it doesn't automatically make it a dad joke if it's from a conversation between you and your child. Most importantly, the jokes that your CHILDREN tell YOU are not dad jokes. The point of a dad joke is that it's so cheesy only a dad who's trying to be funny would make such a joke. That's it. They are stupid plays on words, lame puns and so on. There has to be a clever pun or wordplay for it to be considered a dad joke.

Again, to all the fellow dads, I apologise if I'm sounding too harsh. But I just needed to get it off my chest.

Introduction

Nio INC is a new player in the EV market. It competes with Tesla Inc and other new EV manufacturers such as Lucid Group. As of right now, Nio Inc offers a great opportunity to buy. In this article, we will do a quick fundamentals analysis of the company and a technical analysis of the stock to show why the stock is a great buy.

Fundamentals Analysis

The company was founded in 2014 and it is still in the phase of creating and optimizing its products. Looking at the annual earnings, we have a positive trend. The company is selling more and more cars. The company is still not breaking even, but the earnings have increased year after year.

https://preview.redd.it/6y2fqcvmgn881.png?width=533&format=png&auto=webp&s=0ba3c334a7b0a2db59c86877a95f378b8a4b5a85

Source:Yahoo Finance

The EV market is growing strong, and this company is set up in a great position to increase its presence in China. In 2021, they have sold over 80000 cars. The company is planning to create a second manufacturing facility in Hefei China. The Chinese EV market is strong and there is strong completion from all EV makers, however, it is important to point out that Nio Inc has increased its China EV deliveries by 120% in 2021 compared to 2020. This is setting up the company for great success and it is managing to keep up with the competition.

The other interesting detail with Nio Inc is that they are offering battery swap stations. Instead of waiting to charge the battery, users can simply swap their batteries with a newly charged one that takes 1 minute to complete. That is impressive as it is faster than the time it takes to refill a gasoline tank. The company believes in its quality and is offering this approach to beat the Achilles heel of EVs, battery charge time.

Technical Analysis

Looking at the technical analysis of the stock, we see that as of right now we are trading near 52 weeks low. . Looking at the price chart, we can see that we have the formation of a new uptrend that started on December 20. The price is getting close to breaking the 30-day moving average, which by itself is also a great buy signal.

Looking at the momentum analysis, the StochasticMACD shows us that the stock is undervalued. As of right now, we are getting across the MACD indicator, which signals a buying opportunity.

Looking at the Balance of Market Power, we can see that the power of the bears is decreasing, and their pressure is being minimized.

This sh

Do your worst!

I'm surprised it hasn't decade.

For context I'm a Refuse Driver (Garbage man) & today I was on food waste. After I'd tipped I was checking the wagon for any defects when I spotted a lone pea balanced on the lifts.

I said "hey look, an escaPEA"

No one near me but it didn't half make me laugh for a good hour or so!

Edit: I can't believe how much this has blown up. Thank you everyone I've had a blast reading through the replies 😂

It really does, I swear!

They’re on standbi

Buenosdillas

Pilot on me!!

Dad jokes are supposed to be jokes you can tell a kid and they will understand it and find it funny.

This sub is mostly just NSFW puns now.

If it needs a NSFW tag it's not a dad joke. There should just be a NSFW puns subreddit for that.

Edit* I'm not replying any longer and turning off notifications but to all those that say "no one cares", there sure are a lot of you arguing about it. Maybe I'm wrong but you people don't need to be rude about it. If you really don't care, don't comment.

When I got home, they were still there.

What did 0 say to 8 ?

" Nice Belt "

So What did 3 say to 8 ?

" Hey, you two stop making out "

I won't be doing that today!

[Removed]

This morning, my 4 year old daughter.

Daughter: I'm hungry

Me: nerves building, smile widening

Me: Hi hungry, I'm dad.

She had no idea what was going on but I finally did it.

Thank you all for listening.

You take away their little brooms

Nothing, he was gladiator.

There hasn't been a post all year!