Coverage probability Puns

And as such my dad now has to consider Rushing a surgery because there’s no way to be confident in the government. Absolutely fantastic. Hang em all.

I had a coworker not long ago who said she once dated a meteorologist (or meteorology major) who told her that when you see the percentage given in a weather broadcast (ie, 30% rain), that that actually means that 30% of the coverage/broadcast area is getting rain. This runs contrary to everything I've been told wherein it's just a probability of whether or not it'll rain. The only reason I am asking here, and didn't just disregard it instantly, was that the source was (supposedly) trained in the area.

This may be a cool problem of interest for someone to get into for visualizing and Monte Carlo sampling:

The other day I came across "A problem in virology" Sec. 5.14 in Geometrical Probability by Moran; the goal was to determine the probability a spherical virus of radius 50 um which becomes covered with thin cylinders on end (antibodies) and receives enough coverage, to prevent the virus from latching on to a cell.

Moran states that Given N antibodies as a random Poisson variable, and the cap that the cylinder covers the an area A on the virus... The expected area not covered was provided to be: 4pi(1 - A/4pi )^N

An exact solution cannot be found for the probability that EVERY point on the sphere is covered, but results could be found sampling of a probability distribution for certain cases of coverage.

More detail is provided here on page 5:

https://digitalassets.lib.berkeley.edu/math/ucb/text/math_s5_v4_article-34.pdf

Hi,

i'm trying to do an assignment for uni, but i don't really understand the question:

Conduct a simulation study to investigate the coverage properties of a confidence interval:

1. For the normal distribution N(µ, σ2 ), choose any value of the mean parameter µ, and any value greater than 0 for the variance parameter σ ^2 .

2. For your chosen µ and σ ^2 • randomly generate 10, 000 samples of size 10 from the N(µ, σ^2 ) distribution. • For each randomly generated sample, calculate a 95% confidence interval for µ.

3. Determine what proportion of the 10,000 confidence intervals contain your chosen value of µ, and comment briefly on your result.

what do you think i'm meant to do?

thanks

All this drama with the SEC, It’s kinda hard being silent when you AMP but they.. Stay focused on work (Snoop Dogg Voice)

Let me tell you how the law of attraction works and how powerful it is. I had a lingering thought which turned into a question about Flexa. That thought was, since Flexa is fully compliant, will projects that Flexa supports become compliant as well by it's association with Flexa?

A couple days later, this comes across my Twitter feed: Question answered!

Of course, we live in the land where you have to verify, not trust, so I decided to head on over to Flexa's website and sure enough, I found it riiiiiiiight here! Written in plain language. "Fully compliant. Through an embedded verification flow, Flexa provides complete regulatory coverage and AML protections. As an app developer, regulatory compliance is often the last thing you want to worry about. Flexa’s robust anti–money laundering technology and policies ensure that payments made with the Spend SDK are fully compliant with local regulations in supported jurisdictions, while requiring far less intrusive data collection than traditional KYC."

Sooooo what does this mean? In short, Wallets (possibly other tools in DeFi also) that choose to introduce Flexa's Spend SDK by default become fully compliant.

But why is that so significant?

Because that's the core of conversations happening right now between the SEC and CEO's of crypto companies! The perfect storm is here, and who has the umbrella that crypto CEO's want? Flexa.

Things like this should boost your fundamental understanding of Flexa and conviction of the project itself.

We don't just have a pure leader of digital payments that's fraud proof for any transfer of value anymore, we also have a train to full compliance with Flexa as the conductor!

[Edit: Whether projects in crypto realize it or not, Flexa is the missing key for crypto payments, low transaction fees, guaranteed fraud prevention, and full compliance. With 1 simple integration, an entire wallet, exchange, and potentially blockchain, can become fully compliant with AML and KYC regulations. I’m truly surprised that nobody has mentioned Flexa during the SEC hearings. While money is being exhausted to battle against regulations, education out to be provided to every project in crypto about the benefits of using Flexa. They need it in the same way F

If (like me) you thought the coverage was great and want to see more rugby on it (at a way more reasonable price than sports channels like sky) I'd recommend completing it and asking for more rugby!

Can't wait for the day that we don't have to pay almost a 100 euro a month to just have access to watching all the rugby games...

I know I have to be very delicate with this. I want to start this off by saying Larry Nasser was a monster and Anderson was a monster. College football and rivalries aside, it is disgusting how much is coming to light in terms of sexual abuse and assault.

I know what people will say, of course an MSU flair is posting this. That’s assuming the mods even let it go through. I’d like to ask that you consider that obviously only an MSU fan would notice this and want to call attention to it. The vast majority of articles about Anderson and schembechler are paywalled. You can still easily access their articles on MSU and nassar.

Here’s a article by Mitch Albom just posted day.

Mitch Albom: Talk of Bo's Michigan football legacy overlooks real villain: Robert Anderson

https://www.freep.com/story/sports/columnists/mitch-albom/2021/06/17/mitch-albom-michigan-football-bo-schembechler-robert-anderson-sex-abuse/7723265002/

Here’s the article he wrote 3 years ago about the MSU scandal.

Fair or not, everyone at Michigan State being scrutinized

https://www.hollandsentinel.com/news/20180130/mitch-albom-fair-or-not-everyone-at-michigan-state-being-scrutinized

Desmond Howard

https://twitter.com/desmondhoward/status/953330813898313729?s=21

He has yet to comment on Anderson or Bo

Angelique S Chenglis (detroit news writer for Michigan)

Notice that this is an article commenting on whether the Nassar scandal (and resulting OTL hit piece), completely unrelated to football or basketball, would affect recruiting.

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/college/michigan-state-university/2018/01/29/experts-msu-scandal-scared-top-recruits/109928132/

Chengelis has written multiple articles about Michigan players supporting Schembechler. Giving voice to the play by play caller, harbaughs defense, and a petition that only received 80 signatures by the time her article was posted.

Wojo

Simmons out, and MSUs woes just starting

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/columnists/bob-wojnowski/2018/01/24/wojo-simon-msus-woes-just-starting/109790162/

Nicole Auerbach

Has yet to write anything on Anderson or Bo.

She was one of the authors leading the charge against msu while trying to tie basketball and football to his name. Too many tweets to acknowledge.

https://theathletic.com/223555/2018/01/26/ncaa-president-mark-emmert-was-alerted-to-michigan-state-sexual-assault-reports-in-2010/. (Emmert denied being informed)

Not to Paula Lavigne and Espn and their lack of co