Quantum coin flipping Puns

Do you think that Reserve List [[Winter Sky]] is going to go up in price, due to the fact that it flips coins and costs 1 mana?

What about a thousand or a million?

I've been teaching seminary. It's not easy, partly because the manual is super boring, partly because it's at 6:30am. But the kids are good kids, and I hope to shield them from much of the harmful messaging. For example, when we talked about the pinnacle of the gospel being family happiness, I explained that not everyone has a happy family, and not everyone feels that being sealed to their family for eternity is a paradise (just in case any of them have a dysfunctional home life).

All this to say that I am trying to be increasingly sensitive to people's experiences and perceptions. I've noticed that most non-members can't see how members believe the church to be true. And for members, there's nothing that a non-member could say that will make them think it's not true. I have been wondering what it would take for a person to re-evaluate their own position.

I'm not suggesting that we can flip a coin to decide what truth is (e.g. "heads it's true, tails it's false"), but I want to imagine a coin toss game, where you bet on the outcome. Let's say that you start with $10 and for every coin flip, you bet $1 on the outcome. Let's imagine that you're a really boring person (just to keep this simple) and you always bet on heads. (This would work equally well if you always bet tails or always switch between heads and tails. But if you randomly choose an outcome, it complicates the probability so we'll set that aside.) What would you expect the outcome to be?

After 1000 coin flips, how much money would you have left? With each flip, the probability of landing on heads is 50/50, so after 1000 flips, betting $1 on each flip, you would expect to win $1 50% of the time, and lose $1 50% of the time, and end up with $10 (or $9 or $11). EDIT: This is a totally wrong expectation, as kindly pointed out by u/Stevenrushing below.

After 100 coin flips, how much money would you have left? Chances are really high that you'd end up with $10, but there's a good chance that you could end up with $11 or $9, and a slight chance that you could end up with $8 or less or with $12 or more.

What about 10 coin flips? Are you willing to gamble that you would end up with $10? It's likely, but we know it's not extremely likely. There's a very real possibility that if you flip a coin repeatedly, you could get a run of 5 or more heads in a row. Is there a chance that you could get 10 tails in a row? There is a possibility that you could run out of money.

I've framed this as a question of pr

I’ve been really noticing how meme coins are overtaking major crypto projects, and they’re doing 100x like its nothing.

Personally, i was never a fan of meme coins but this of course changed once i noticed the profits, that meme coins holders are generating.

So the first thing i did was research which meme coin has the most potential to break out, since Dogecoin and Shiba Inu are somewhat dying out.

I found Dogelon Mars that recently did 120%, and analysts are predicting to insanely pump this year.

import random
reiterations=1000
experiments=1000
headcount=0
tailcount=0
idealcount=0
nonidealcount=0
for i in range(1000):
    for i in range(experiments):
        for i in range(1000):
            coin=bool(random.randint(0,1))
            if coin==True:
                tailcount+=1
            else:
                headcount+=1
        if headcount==tailcount:
            idealcount+=1
        else:
            nonidealcount+=1
    print("Ideal outcomes:",idealcount)
    print("Non-ideal outcomes:",nonidealcount)

So this is a rather simple piece of code, I was just a bit curious about the nature of probability and how it diverges when an outcome occurs so I decided to visualize that using a simple piece of code.

So just to explain what this does:

• It simulates a coin flip. (I know randint() isn't all that random, but hey it works!)
• And then it uses a for loop to repeat this simulation again and again.for i in range(1000):
• It records the amount of heads and tails.
• And THEN it uses ANOTHER for loop to rerun the for loop to repeat the simulation again and again.for i in range(experiments):And I record the instances where the No. of Heads=No. Of Tails or in other words probabilistically ideal experiments and the instances where No. of Heads isn't equal to No. of Tails.So far there's no problem, and this is the output I get: (Of course, since its based on randomness, the outcomes change every time I run it, like sometimes its 2,998 or 3,997.)Ideal outcomes: 6Non-ideal outcomes: 994

And I put all of this in ANOTHER for loop to see how the ideal outcomes vary and here's where the problem starts...

Ideal outcomes: 5

Non-ideal outcomes: 995

Ideal outcomes: 6

Non-ideal outcomes: 1994

Ideal outcomes: 6

Non-ideal outcomes: 2994

Ideal outcomes: 8

Non-ideal outcomes: 3992

Ideal outcomes: 8

Non-ideal outcomes: 4992

Ideal outcomes: 8

Non-ideal outcomes: 5992

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 6991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 7991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 8991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 9991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 10991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 11991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 12991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 13991

Ideal outcomes: 9

Non-ideal outcomes: 14991

It does this weird thing, the non-ideal

Good morning everyone. We have had an amazing run. Especially the last 2 days when the market sees a lot of red… This is the strategy that I am using: It better be hot money, because it does not matter what the market is doing…. It reverses from negative to positive reversing in a weak market…it is super defensive like GOGL AGAIN!, PSEC! Or if it is anything else I am buying on 5-10% dips! I will not buy something like PUBM down 2%...even DAN down 3%. Even my popular defensive stocks CONN, I am waiting for a dip of near 5%... I will go in earlier on super defensive stocks that pay me. Check GOGL premarket again! PSEC dropped to 7.70 again and I did not get in…

I was absolutely shocked that Goldman downgraded COWN to a Sell with a $35 target. Competitor? I am lost. COWN makes cash, gives a dividend and just said F U GOLDMAN! 50 million buyback! This is why you buy money makers, when something happens they show up at the auction with cold hard cash! Your company can not do this if it doesn’t make money and has bad financials.. No offense I care about all of you, but when I read the comments and some stock recommendations I say to myself, I hope these people are just trading the stock…because that company has no sales, bad financials, and it is going up on HOPE. Let me tell you, I have been trading since the 90s at 14, buying a stock on HOPE is not a good strategy. I am not saying it does not work, but out of 10 times how many times are you going to win… I do not want to call anyone out…. But we have a new sub that is making a lot of greens now, that on his own he decided to buy KPLT, because it was hot! This company is a grenade. Do not see a grenade and decide wow, this was just 10 a few days ago, now it is 7, it is cheap and it was hot….. My friend when it was 10 it was on positive sentiment and had the retail army backing people that day! They could come back the next day, or days, or week but there is no guarantee… I do not flip a coin. My recommendation is if the company does not make money yet, does not have sales, to have an exit plan over night. [ENSC, CRVS, NURO etc] may make a lot of long term investors out of you! Once again I am not saying they wont come back but now it is the waiting game..You have to look in the mirror and ask yourself if you lose 100-200 or even 500 on this grenade, can I make it back on the next trade? Tomorrow? Or should I hold this the stock is down 3% today and play the waiting game and hope next few days retail will co

At this point the role is so dependent on your team that its impossible to do anything without their help, making many marksman champions totally underpowered in soloq.

I feel this is because if you buy any survivability items at all, you will become completely useless without utility as you will do no damage to tanks. I think this is proven by the fact that the highest winrate adc is Vayne who is also just a champion that eventually becomes too strong to deal with when their team protects them, and has a lot of potential to avoid incoming damage through her ult.

Besides Vayne, no other adc sits higher than 51.5% w/r and the champions that do are all ones that provide some sort of amazing utility to their team. Ashe (Ult), Jhin (E vision, W long range stun). The only 2 adcs that provide little utility and sit above that winrate are MF (whose ult goes well with champions like Amumu who just got buffed so shes gaining populairty, plus shes heavily underplayed so her WR fluctuates a lot) and Twitch (who again is underplayed and has a very unique playstyle that relies more on picks rather than sustained damage).

All in all, ADC is a role where, you pray your support doesn't suck because they dictate whether or not you're behind 20 cs at 10 minutes. Then, even if they are decent, you have to pray someone tries to peel for you late game or else you're going to get 1 shot by a bruiser with full tank items and a gore drinker.

I feel with the mobility creep, the fact that most champions can 1v1 an adc with no issues, the role has become pretty pointless to play, especially in Low elo soloq where its every man for themselves. Although that doesn't seem like it matters to much, the majority of the playerbase (80+%) is below gold. If you want to get to plat+, just play ziggs. It is absolutely pointless to play adcs in soloq at that level unless you just want to 50/50 500 games to plat.

We have all seen the news headlines "DOGE millionaires". "16yr old making $30,000 a month flipping NFTs"

But has anyone actually seen this or heard about it in person?

In NFTs its usually the person selling the NFTs that is making money. Usually some celebrity or influencers. The main NFTs are so ridiculously priced and the gas fees so high it can't be profitable?

With the random copies of popular NFT series usually just pumping and dumping into oblivion. I know one guy who so far has lost 5 ETH trying to flip the next big NFT by buying the copy Sharks, Sunflowers, Frogs etc....

Personally all the people I know with major gains in crypto made it in BTC and few major Alts. Maybe it's a an age thing and we are less risk adverse. If I want a risky trade I would rather open a 3x long on ETH, BTC or ADA ( currently in one since $2.12)

So I ask again, is anyone actually making money on this shit?

I’ve almost never complained about this game despite the issues it has, but this is the last straw for me. Made about 130k flipping some cards and got my coins wiped by EA today. So sick of them harming the consumer by wanting to control the market. Never playing this game again.

I made an equation that, from what I’ve tested (up to n=7), works. However, I am almost positive that there is a simpler equation, or at least one that doesn’t involve sigma. Here is the equation. I can explain it to anyone who wants to know, however there might already exist an equation for this that I am simply unaware of. If anyone has a simpler equation or a simplification of this equation, please let me know.

I've picked up maybe 6 or 7 roman coins, I had noticed when turning one over the reverse image would be upside down to the face. The other day I got a Valens the the front and back are both the same way up, is this normal? Does it mean anything? Did they pay attention to what way up they were minting these? I've got another valens which I believe is from a different mint and its as I said originally, upside down on the reverse. I just found this one weird.

Just wondering because someone told me that doing that is like gambling.

JAK