I was idly wandering about nuclear weapons proliferation and what happens when a nuclear armed state collapses. This got me thinking about the fall of the Soviet Union. This is (as far as I am aware) the only instance of a nuclear armed state ceasing to exist with all the disruption that comes from that. In the disorder that followed the collapse was there ever a risk of nuclear materials going missing and what steps were taken to prevent this (and by whom)?
This is assuming that both states have long-range delivery capabilities.
Why would State A ever attack State B? Even if nuclear weapons are not used at the start, I imagine that if State A started winning, State B would prefer a lose-lose situation over being conquered and occupied by the enemy. Is there a situation in which State B chooses to be the sole loser of the war and not use its nuclear weapons? If so, what would have been the point of developing them?
If the above is the case, is the development of conventional weapons only for confrontations with states without nuclear weapons?
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Does anyone have the evidence saying something like “States with nuclear weapons are 1/3rd less likely to go to conventional war.” I heard it at the Claremont Invitational
