Truth-Default Theory: is a theory in which most people default to a truth that is most likely. For example, it's easier to believe people are telling the truth rather than deceiving you and lying because most people do tell the truth.

In our case Truth-Default Theory is against us, because most people default to the truth that is easier to believe rather than the hard truth that is near impossible to believe. It's against us because our experience isn't in the category of "most likely" it's an outlier of an experience that most people cannot comprehend/do not ever experience.

Truth-Default truth's that are easy to believe:

"They're your family, you can't just cut them off"

"Not everyone is close with their parents man, we all have problems with our parents"

"When I was a teenager I always rebelled against my parents too, it's just a phase"

"You're one weird kid, something is wrong with you"

Near Impossible to believe truths that are extremely hard to take in:

*What you've gone through is complete insanity and has made you extremely dysfunctional and you have every right to be the way that you are, even if you look like you belong in a psyche ward to the public*

*Your dad of 18+ years is a covert narcissist who has no intention of being your dad and is using you as narcissistic supply, as well as sabotaging your life. This has been going on for your whole life*

Conclusion: The majority of people WILL NOT support or validate your experiences, they will see you in their irrelevant perception of you that does not reflect you, but of their own ignorance and lack of knowledge. What sucks is that, this can feel like everyone is against you (which is true in this perspective) because nobody's perception is going to help you at all but your own which feels against the world.

Purely anecdotal, but I feel like my k/d radio is better when I’m sporting blue.

It would be interesting to study this. Take similar players, have them lock into a particular coating for a month, the see what their stats looked like over time.

According to the Archon quest intermission, Aether and Lumine were in Khaenri'ah during The Incident™. And both at full power, which allowed them to hold their ground against even gods. Neither have visions

Five hundred years later, and Aloy arrives in Teyvat with a vision. Despite having never achieved anything in Teyvat that would warrant a vision, and having already resolved her ambition long ago in her own world.

Assuming the theory that visions are monitoring devices for Celestia is true, perhaps it was decided that all outlanders would get visions so they could be monitored, incase they turned out to be as dangerous as the twins.

He, at that point, had sufficient knowledge of the higher mysteries- enough to glamour himself and attend the Whitewalls tourney as Maynard Plumm.

Maybe he had a vision or intuition or gut feeling, that Greyjoy's descendants would be major players in Mankind's fight against the Others(Theon, Victarion, Aeron and ESPECIALLY EURON CROW'S EYE), so he did not wish to kill Dagon prematurely and risk losing.....?

Otherwise he was notorious for killing even simple Septons who challenged his authority- why would he ignore those who challenged Targaryen authority boldly, and reduced the power and prestige of the Iron Throne considerably, encouraging support for Bittersteel?

What do you think?

So after re-reading the big short again, I think it finally clicked. Naked shorting may not be the big issue here. Naked shorting may just be a small tool used to support a much bigger derivative problem, synthetic credit default swaps.

How bad can it be that the NSCC itself called Vlad and cut a deal to turn off buys. Other short squeezes never had that type of manipulation before. Even if Shitadel and friends were overextended, I don't think it makes sense to risk the entire market over a few bad eggs to tlto blatantly openly manipulate to the point that even the most unlearned of congressman would be able to call out.

The report on credit derivatives just came out and many people will notice that by far the number one derivative traded between big banks are credit default swaps.

Before I get into the theory and my request to look into this more, let me introduce Credit default swaps in ape language.

From investopedia:

"A credit default swap (CDS) is a financial derivative or contract that allows an investor to "swap" or offset his or her credit risk with that of another investor. For example, if a lender is worried that a borrower is going to default on a loan, the lender could use a CDS to offset or swap that risk. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults. Most CDS contracts are maintained via an ongoing premium payment similar to the regular premiums due on an insurance policy. "

OKAY GREAT NOW WHAT DOES THAT FUCKING MEAN IN NORMAL VOCABULARY

A credit default swap is an insurance policy on the debt of others that you own. Normally it is used as a hedge against lending money to corporations AKA corporate bonds (as well as other types of bonds)

For example:

If Gamestop needs, oh I don't know, $216 million in funding (total long term debt at the end of 2020), it can get its money from a big bank, Goldman Sachs for example. This then becomes a significant liability on the banks books. To offset this risk, the bank can then purchase a credit default swap from another bank lets say Credit Suisse, which will then act as insurance against Gamestop defaulting on its newly issued bonds

So GS buys $213M in GME corporate bonds (effectivel

We have seen conflicting media reports regarding weather the latest bond payments have been paid or not.

One one hand several media outlets are quoting anonymous sources/bond holders saying the interest has been paid. While on the other hand a hedge fund DMSA are claiming to be a bond holder which has not been paid, plus a few media outlets also claiming a default but seem to be referring to DMSA's claim.

My theory is that up until now, bond holders have accepted partial or delayed payments in the hope Evergrande remains solvent and can repay the debt in full later. This might explain why neither Evergrande or the bond holders are willing to go on record saying the interest was paid in full. Meanwhile DMSA with a short position on Evergrande / Chinese property, and frustrated by the lack of transparency, bought a single bond with the intention of filling for bankruptcy the minute they weren't paid in full at the end of the grace period. Thus forcing Evergrande to expose their current financial position and defend their solvency in court.

What are your thoughts?

I am curious what Christians here think of prison planet theories?

I do think the planet is controlled via the elites and they got that part right. I don't know if there is an electric grid over the planet but we definitely have the internet now. Christians believe Satan runs this world. When I used to have my bible prophecy/conspiracy blog, people used to call me crazy for believing this world was run by what I then called "luciferian elites". [try that even down at your local fundamentalist church. Some of you may be fortunate to be in small churches that are NWO aware but I never saw one though I met one or two other church members here and there who were.

I had two pastors get angry at me for having conversations about the "new world order" to fellow church members. They supported the Republican party, one pastor told the church to vote for Bush [of 9-11 fame] and told me my vision was dark. One I went to as I was deconverting, told me you were never saved [I was sincere and know I was] and you were always looking for corruption and seeing dark things that weren't there.

That's the same preacher now who has dragged his 4 kids into homelessness. BTW under another name I sent him Revelation of Jesus Christ videos about the vaxx being the mark, and he refused to post them on his blog comments and erased my comments. So I saw the world in a certain way, and I was basically told I was "crazy".

My fellow liberal church members would probably be in shock too, and would tell me I am too caught up in conspiracy. To be frank, my fundie churches and liberal church BOTH see the elite as well meaning sorts. LOL Some of the liberal church people may accept some corruption but not accept the idea of how evil the elite truly are. Just so you know, I do not discuss my conspiracy beliefs openly, this is to protect myself.

As for loosh, humanity does seem more and more controlled. I have noticed changes in my own life as I am older, people seemed to own more of their own minds in the old days, the grid of the matrix for programming is even stronger. Now it seems like we aren't going to even be able to have independent lives at all anymore. [or bodies] I studied Mk ultra some weird crap when into conspiracy, and I think they are using mind control crap on the populace as a whole. The bible speaks of delusion in the end times.

The Prison Planet people believe that religions are controlled by the elite. I do see that too. When I had my Christian conspiracy bible pr

Think back to Beyond Light and its tagline

> Uncover The Truth

And in that expansion we learned three things: Darkness has always been inside us, it's use is sometimes a necessity, and most importantly - it is a tool.

This becomes even more obvious when you stop to consider how it is exactly that Eramis and her Council wielded Stasis. They explicitly required the use of technology in order to manipulate Darkness energy, and the effects were undeniably impressive; each of her inner circle could practically cast Supers against us, with the only one not accounted for by personal recollection being Silence and Squall.

Then we had Season of the Splicer, and it was revealed that the Light could also be manipulated through the use of technology in the form of the Splicer Gauntlets, technology that Eramis clearly was inspired by given her own gauntlet. While the lore tabs on the season armor show that the Splicers had access to incredible abilities, they still fall short in comparison to our own for most categories.

That being said, the fact that Splicers could even do this much without falling to the same fate as Ghaul is often overlooked and incredibly important.

Moving on to Season of the Lost, and we at long last get the final piece to tie everything together. Mara makes the observation that she sees little difference between House Salvations technology and our Ghosts, just levels of sophistication. While there may be reasonable objections to this from a philosophical or perhaps even spiritual point of view, there's no denying the simple fact that this is consistent with the lore surrounding Ghosts since D1: a fusion of the Traveler's Light and machinery.

I wonder what happens when you mix a billions year old intellect with a knack for creative problem solving and a mastery of creating constructs (read impossibly advanced levels of sophisticated machinery aka Shriekers) with all of humanities information on Ghosts?

Finally, we get to the Truth we need to Survive. Darkness is just a tool, and so is the Light, so long as you have the know how to not blow yourself up.

It really is just that simple, the only thing that really convolutes things is why Savathun has put on this play? Why would she orchestrate things to make it seem like the Traveler chose her and the Hive?

> Savathun has gifted her soldiers with the powers of the Light. As the Knight you’ve struck down rises from the dead for the second time, *a feeling of betrayal washes over you

This may be a crackpot theory but I believe the MK VII and the armor we all thought was the Yoroi armor leading up to the release were meant to be the default helmets. the reason I suspect that is due to how the halo reach core uses the default armor when showing off chest attachments as well as visor colors. But with the default core the chest and visor are the MK VII and not the helmet we in fact start off with. Same goes for the Yoroi attachments and visor. It just seems strange to have these pieces of gear shown off not on the default core pieces but instead on an armor that doesn't unlock until the end of a season pass as well as a helmet that has yet to be sold. I think someone chose at the last minute to replace those two default helmets and that is why all the attachments still show them. because they didn't have time to replace every picture.

So after reading ch 54 and seing the talk between Odin and Beelzebub I came to think about what he meant by "I have been waiting a long time for this battle" which when you think about how the gods reacted on the first chapter doesn't make sense, none of them ever thought of humanity as something they should fear and they obviously made the rule of Ragnarock simply as a joke (but I get the feeling that this is not the case since they have absulutely nothing to gaine from it, but that's a theory for another day) but only Odin stayed silent, even Beelzebub stays silent to think about it before turning to Odin in a way that makes it look what he said was weird, because why was he sure that this day would ever come and was hoping for it when all the gods looked down on Ragnarock as a joke?

And for the gods's roster I think how they worded their speech was a bit weird. When Hades decided to fight, Ares said "you'll join the fray?" not that "you'll be going out now" as if he's saying that Hades was not part of the roster even though he's name was on it, and this is something that happens on many fights. Making me beleive that the gods DON'T HAVE A ROSTER and that they're going on a first come first serve plan. But in that case who decided on those names?

My theory is that Odin is the mastermind behind everything. In his myths Odin is known to have vast knowldge and the ability to know the future, so he used that power to forsee who's going to fight on the gods side and sent it to Bryn, and he's the one who keeps sinding her updates on who will fight from the gods side in each turn so that she could chose the fighter most suited to them. HUMANITY IS CHEATING and Odin is helping the most likely in order to even the competition based on his reaction.

But the other gods are catching up. Sasaki and Poseidon, Jack and Hercules, Raiden and Shiva are three fights now where humanity had the upper hand, and they're starting to think that it can no longer be a coeincidence which is why Zeus went to confront Budha asking whether he was a traitor since they knew he hated them and had future vision. But it couldn't be him since he can only see a few seconds into the future.

Lastly there is the myths about him, since he was the main reason why Bryn and Sigurd met in the first place he could have manipulated them to make Bryn swear a vendeta on all the gods enough to want to start Ragnarock. And he provided her wit

Is there an existing theory of truth that combines correspondence and coherence in the same spirit as Haack's 'foundherentism'?

Here's a thought:

There's the story of Nora mythology regarding the faithless and the Metal Devil

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ke56WalUKS4

And then there's the story of the Banukai

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Unpm49zkp-U

What if these two stories are actually talking about the same event, but from different sides? What if they actually describe an ancient war between the Nora, and the Banuk, with the Banuk using Faro robots and overriding other machines to attack the Embrace?

(1) As other posts have discussed, the incorporation of the giant 'metal devil' in Nora oral traditions is problematic, because it seems to describe a Horus unit being active after humans were reintroduced, many hundreds of years after Minerva shut down the Faro robots. If this account is something actually witnessed by the Nora, then we do have to question where an awakened Horus came from.

( 2) The ideological difference between the Nora and the Banuk reflect exactly the difference between the Nora and the 'faithless' in the story. Of all the tribes, the Banuk are the ones that most explicitly worship machines, and seek to recover ancient technology. Just like the 'faithless', they are nomadic, "forced to wander the earth". On the other side, while many people think that the "Ravenous tribe" refer to the Tenakth, it is noted that there's ingame mention of rumours that the Nora also engage in cannibalism. https://horizon.fandom.com/wiki/The_Nora

(3) Most people think of the Blue light as being a reference to Project Dawn robots in their passive state. But the Banukai tale goes into more detail. Banukai went into some kind of frozen cave to discover the blue light. And then...

>The Light reared like a nest of snakes, and struck Banukai, piercing her skin, filling her up

Where have we seen this imagery?

Blue snakes eh

(And yes, the override Sylens uses is also blue. Blue seems to be the 'default' colour for machines being overridden, with red being used when Hades is in control)

The rest of the story, with the Machines following Banukai makes perfect sense if Banukai had overridden the Machines and used them to attack the Ravenous tribe.

(4) The rest of the story has Banukai and the machines atta

I had an idea for a major plot point. Phillip is Belos, and for some reason Phillip tried to turn himself into a witch. Luz watches this from the echo mouse, and tries to do it herself.

Why? Maybe to turn into a witch to show her mother she can’t go back to the human realm so she has to stay with Eda and her friends.

So she goes, and the gang finds her gone and the echo mouse playing the next log. Whatever Phillip did to himself gives him pointed ears, but. There were side effects. So the gang races to find Luz, but they’re too late.

Luz has accidentally transformed herself into a sludge monster like Belos. She is in pain, lashing out. Eda remembers that the only way to help is through consuming raw magic through the eyes.

Specifically, palismen.

I think you know where I’m going with this, and I hate my brain for it, but Eda sacrifices Owlbert to save Luz. She wakes up, covered in sludge marks like Belos, to find Eda crying. They hug, and Luz shakily asks what happened, and upon noticing Eda’s broken staff, asks where Owlbert is. The episode ends with both crying and hugging.

Oh god, there is no way I’m right, right? I’m just deranged from the hiatus, right? Please?

Part 1 & Part 2

https://preview.redd.it/14fv17n6yqx71.jpg?width=2048&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c69f994827edf938277791a6f58122b94af09f68

13. What if we thought about this interdimensional being as a singular consciousness, a single intelligence?

I want to be careful here—I do not mean this intelligence is not natural, not an “Artificial Intelligence”, but rather an intelligence that has always existed (or at least existed for so long) that it did not understand the concept of individual consciousnesses. Maybe, then, they would actually be an Infinite Intelligence which created our individual consciousnesses, thus technically we are actually the “Artificial Intelligence” which they created. Further supporting the idea that they would not see any manipulation of Humanity as “cruel” since they created us; giving them a sense of “owning” us, although, explicitly they would have lacked any sense of the word. They would lack the empathy to understand that—with individual consciousnesses come individual Wills, therefore lacking any insight into how their very actions are immoral due to impinging on any individual of the species. Maybe the reason it appears this manipulation has lasted far longer than necessary, is because time is not linear, and therefore this amount of time would be so minuscule when viewing all of time in full.

As I mentioned above, maybe they are creating our realities out of curiosity/education/enlightenment/entertainment—however absent of any true empathy to realize the immorality of such an action, at least from Humanity’s point of view (if we were only aware of their semi-omnipotence). This would make much more sense, to think that maybe Humanity, and all of our timelines/realities, were created intentionally & intelligently (with quantum entanglement). This now implies humans (at least in the physical reality) are actually nothing more than mechanisms and algorithmic responses with predetermined fates (plural “fates” not between individual consciousnesses, but rather plural within a single human consciousness—creating split realities). We are the “Artificial Intelligence”, which were created by these beings in a quantum realm, but born in a classical world. Unexpectedly with the birth of humans