So, some of us are probably interested in how much Conference Championship Games impact the College Football Playoff Rankings. I pulled together all data on how losses in Conference Championships impacted the final ranking of the loser. Some interesting conclusions:
First, yes, CCG losses to do cause teams to drop in the rankings. Someone told me this wasn't the case. This is the case. The average movement is negative 1.83 spots. At the extremes, 2016 Virginia Tech actually moved up a spot and 2019 Utah dropped six spots (obvious committee meddling, as it dropped Utah right below the NY6 cut-off).
Second, movement is not spread equally among conferences. The ACC, B10, and SEC only move with a loss an average of 1.3 spots, which the Pac-12 and Big-12 move double that, an average of 2.625 spots.
| Conference | Average Move |
|---|---|
| ACC | -1 |
| SEC | -1.43 |
| B10 | -1.57 |
| B12 | -2.25 |
| Pac-12 | -3 |
Third, movement depends most on where you are in the rankings. I divided the losing teams into three categories:
-
Playoff Bubble (post-game rankings of 8 or better)
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NY6 bubble (pre or post-game rankings of 9-13)
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Out of contention (pre-game ranking of 14 or higher)
Here is the average movement per category for a loss:
| Category | Average Move |
|---|---|
| Outside Contention | -1 |
| Playoff Bubble | -1.4 |
| NY6 Bubble | -3 |
The committee really messes around with the NY6 teams more than anything.
To look at the data another way, I also counted "big moves" of 3 or more
| Category | % of Category "Big Moves" |
|---|---|
| Outside Contention | 10% |
| Playoff Bubble | 10% |
| NY6 Bubble | 63.6% |
That's right, the committee moves teams within the New Years Six bubble 3 or more spots about 2/3 of the time if they lose in the conference championship. Playing in the conference championship penalized these teams (as most would have made it if they didn't play in the conference championship).
So, I guess it sucks most if you are a Pac-12 or Big-12 team on the New Years Six Bubble playing in a Conference Championship Game (looking at Oregon and Baylor).
Alright r/CFB, I want your opinion on this question: What was the greatest moment to happen in the Bowl Championship Series National Championship Game or the College Football Playoff? A historic moment, a thrilling play that changed the outcome, a great performance, or some exciting football.
Here a few candidates from recent years
2005: Texas-USC. Needs no more explanation other than "Vince. Young. Scores."
2010: Michael Dyer's legendary "Was his knee not on the ground" run to set up Auburn for the win.
2013: Kermit Whitfield's 100-yard kickoff return touchdown to give Florida State the momentum late in the game.
2016: Hunter Renfrow catching Deshawn Watson's game winning touchdown pass.
2017: Sony Michel's direct snap touchdown run to send Georgia to the championship
2017: Tua Tagovailoa as a true freshman coming in to turn 2nd and 26 into the game winning touchdown pass
2019: Joe Burrow's seven touchdown passes in the first half to demolish Oklahoma.
What are some of your favorites? There have to be tons of great moment's that I missed. Let me know your favorite.
P.S. Georgia fans, I'm sure you can handle discussing 2nd and 26 after Monday's game.
They are expected to play Cincinnati for the conference title. Go Coogs!
Monday, January 10 at 8pm ET/5pm PT on ESPN
https://www.adweek.com/convergent-tv/att-among-11-sponsors-for-espns-college-football-playoff-national-championship-game/
Looks like 20th Century Studios bought a slot for the movie’s first look on this week’s college football game!
Movie synopsis: The story begins when a ruptured water main creates an enormous sinkhole right in front of Bob's Burgers, blocking the entrance indefinitely and ruining the Belchers’ plans for a successful summer. While Bob and Linda struggle to keep the business afloat, the kids try to solve a mystery that could save their family's restaurant. As the dangers mount, these underdogs help each other find hope and fight to get back behind the counter, where they belong.
Movie theatrical release date: May 27, 2022 (USA)
Cast: Kristen Schaal, H. Jon Benjamin, John Roberts, Dan Mintz, Eugene Mirman, Larry Murphy, Zach Galifianakis, Kevin Kline, David Wain
The OU football club in it's second year of existence just defeated #1 Robert Morris 27-26 in the Great Lakes Conference Championship game! Winner of this game (OU) goes to the National Club Football Association's national championship game!
GO OAKLAND!!!
😎
It is already preposterous that the game is on a Monday night, but they is a discussion for another day. The NBA, NCAA and NHL run counter programming.
Why cant they get a handshake agreement with the other leagues to take the night off like the "Big Game"?
Is anyone going out to a watch party tomorrow night for the big game? If you are, let me know! I'm still relatively new up here and would like to go to a cool spot to watch the game.
