^I'll ^be ^updating ^the ^prognoses ^and ^eventually ^posting ^the ^official ^results ^here.
> Overview (percentage, seats, gains/losses, possible coalitions)
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (map)
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Ruling coalition: SPD/CDU
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Minister-President: Erwin Sellering (SPD)
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Represented by 3 (of 69) delegates in the German Bundesrat (upper house)
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Current state coalitions and Bundesrat representation (map & pie chart)
The Parties
SPD, social democrat
CDU, centre-right
The Left, socialist
Greens, environmental
NPD, neo-Nazi
FDP, liberal
AfD, far-right
Voting Method
- Mixed-Member Proportional (CGPGrey explains)
- 5% Hurdle: Only parties with more than 5% of votes can enter the parliament
- Example ballot
| SPD | CDU | The Left | Greens | NPD | FDP | AfD | others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results 2016^1 (%) | 30,6 | 19,0 | 13,2 | 4,8 | 3,0 | 3,0 | 20,8 | 5,6 |
| Results 2011 (%) | 35,6 | 23,0 | 18,4 | 8,7 | 6,0 | 2,8 | - | 5,5 |
| Gains/Losses (%p) | -5,0 | -4,0 | -5,2 | -3,9 | -3,0 | +0,2 | +20,8 | +0,1 |
| Seats | 26 (-1) | 16 (-2) | 11 (-3) | 0 (-7) | 0 (-5) | 0 (±0) | 18 (+8) | 0 (±0) |
| Total votes | 246.393 | 153.101 | 106.259 | 38.834 | 24.365 | 24.475 | 167.453 | total: 806.396 |
| Gains/Losses | +4.142 | -3.868 | -19.269 | -20.170 | -16.277 | +5.532 | +167.453 | total: +125.021 |
Turnout: 61,6% (+10,1%p)
- provisional official result
Local representatives (SPD: 26, CDU: 7, AfD: 3)
Voter migration (SPD, CDU, The Left, AfD, Greens, other parties, non-voters)
[Possible coalitions](https://wahltool.zdf.de/2016-09-04-L
... keep reading on reddit ➡
This is an automatic summary, original reduced by 58%.
> BERLIN The anti-immigrant Alternative for Deutschland party is expected by polls to make huge gains in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election on Sunday, reflecting a growing discontent with Chancellor Angela Merkel and her open-door refugee policy.
> Voters already punished Merkel in three state elections in March, voting in droves for the AfD and rejecting Merkel's Christian Democrats.
> If the national election were held next week, The AfD would win 12 percent of the vote, making it the third-largest party in Germany according to a new poll conducted by the Emnid institute for the Bild newspaper and published on Sunday.
> That would catapult the party into the German parliament for the first time since its creation in 2013.
> In an interview in the mass-circulation Bild newspaper, Merkel defended her decision to welcome so many migrants fleeing conflict in the Middle East, and denied that the influx had cut funding for the German public.
> Interior Minister Thomas de Maiziere, a fellow Christian Democrat, rejected criticism from some in the CDU's Christian Social Union sister party that Merkel's refugee policy was responsible for the rise of the AfD party.
Summary Source | FAQ | Theory | Feedback | Top five keywords: Merkel^#1 vote^#2 party^#3 election^#4 state^#5
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So it seems the AfD did best in the areas on the Polish border. I've read that the west is influenced by the Hamburg SPD culture, but that's the only indication I've had. I'm wondering if border regions are more conservative, eg in Denmark the areas on the German border are the most likely to vote for the Danish version of the AfD. Or is there another, local reason?
