The Nurture Assumption Puns

For the best part of my life, I didn’t know what I wanted to do and had no real intent.

I was scared to pursue something I truly wanted or truly believed in because of an overwhelming fear of failure.

It was easier to go and do jobs that I didn’t really care for, after all, if I failed, it wouldn’t really matter.

I followed society’s unwritten rule book and walked the linear path of going to school, getting an education, getting any kind of job so I could pay bills and maybe get married, have a family, etc.

I did everything that I thought was expected of me by family, peers and society.

Having never taken the time to develop and discover my passion, I struggled with a lack of motivation and discipline.

I was frustrated and depressed with life. I unconsciously masked this dissatisfaction with my life by seeking short-term pleasure through other things.

Aged 34, having bounced around different jobs, it came to a point where I was so disillusioned and pissed off that I decided to live for myself for a change.

It was then that I went through a journey which resulted in me developing and discovering my passion. I say ‘develop’ because it took time for my passion to emerge over a six month period.

Looking back and observing what happened, there were very specific steps I took which resulted in this happening.

Here they are, you can try them out for yourself too.

Step #1 - Digital shutdown

We are constantly bombarded by information in the digital / information age everywhere we go.

All of these things tell us what we should be like, how we should behave and what we should do. It confuses the brain.

I shut down from digital for about 7 days (no social media, no tv, no laptop, no mobile phone, no Netflix). This gave an opportunity to get some headspace and reflect about who I was and what I wanted from my life. I spent this time in nature. It gave me a sense of calmness, relaxation, peace of mind. I developed my meditation practice and spent this time reading books.

Step #2 - Social shutdown

Our brain is a receiving and broadcasting station. It’s like a computer. Our brain receives information, processes it and then broadcasts this as our thoughts, emotions, perception, perspective, reality and identity.

As a result, we become a reflection of our habits and daily decisions. What we do, we become

We mirror the people we spend time with and most of us act out the expectations placed on us by friends, family, society and peers.

Our brain

The title pretty much says it all.

Evil comes from either a bad upbringing/environment (nurture) or some flaw in our brain (nature).

Given that we don’t get to pick where we are born or who our parents and siblings are, god must decide that for us.

We also don’t get to pick how our brain chemistry also works. That is also of course designed by god.

How can anyone claim that god isn’t responsible for the bad things that happen even when it seams like it’s human “choice”?

Due to a series of unfortunate events, the primarchs were scattered throughout the galaxy at birth. By the time they were found, each has largely adapted to their world and conquered it (well, most did anyway). Each also acquired certain traits that set them apart from their brothers. For example, Magnus became a smart alec whose sole redeeming feature was his academic prowess while Guilliman became a god of paper pushing.

What do you guys think will happen if they had been to different planets? What if Curze ended up in Maccrage and Magnus ended up on Nocturne? Would they still grow into something we recognise? I am aware that there is theory that where the primarchs ended up was planned, but how do we know if the primarchs only think so because they already adapted to their world? If the locations were planned, whoever planned it clearly thinks very lowly of Angron and Kurze.

What do you guys think? Also, which will be most interesting combination of primarch and world to see?

Context: I’ve had my same four best friends since middle/high school. Actually, one of them since preschool. I’ve realized recently that our friendships were founded on shared life experiences (classes, dating, other friends, learning to drive, going to prom, etc.) but after high school, we don’t reach the same milestones at the same time anymore. Suddenly those shared life experiences have started to stagger and diverge. We’re all at different stages: two are married, one engaged, one dating, one single. Two of us live out of state now. Two of us own homes. We’re just all over the place, and it’s getting harder and harder to find common ground, despite how much we love each other. I’m afraid of what will happen long term.

I WANT my friendships to last, not give way to the pessimistic “that’s life” mentality. So tell me: what can I do to be a better friend, to foster my friendships despite our varied lives?

I’m a regular 25yo guy, but I’ve discovered a lot about myself through water fasting, cutting out sugar and refined carbs, eating a lot of diverse fermented foods, and intermittent fasting. I still cheat often, having some fast food now and then, alcohol, tobacco, I’m a real person and I try not to stress the vices so long as I’m not making a habit of them. Amazing how deeply the microbiome appears to influence our bodies and minds from what I’ve read and observed from myself through both rigorous and passive commitment to the goal of health.

So my ultimate question is on the common practices to keep a healthy gut, and perhaps more importantly, the worst. What hits the gut the hardest? What introductions to this biological universe remain less impactful?

The point of inquiry is to better communicate this topic to friends and family. Some of their bodies are gross and their minds regularly mirror that.

First off

Very often Kvothe's opinion and views are hidden behind carefully worded long spiels. To hide, maybe, that it started as a guess or opinion. Also he speaks with such confidence about many topics it is hard to catch that he is stating an inference or assumption he has about the world as a fact.

THIS is where most of the assumption that he is unreliable comes from. Yes I guess saying "Unreliable" is not wrong.... But it gives the wrong idea. He is not unreliable like someone who is late all the time. He is unreliable like a zealot of some religion who believes the nonsense they are spouting.

AND I believe in a many places in the books this is essentially TOLD to the reader. Sometimes very blatantly like in many interactions with Elodin where Elodin effectively tells Kvothe as much. Nearly every other interaction is a type of proof of Kvothe's overconfidence and near constant conjecture.

Kvothe is very often BLINDED from the truth by his own assumptions.

Even while being told EXACTLY the truth about something he will brush it off directly or ignore it. Very often in interactions with Denna. She tells him outright She looks for him all the time, She wants him to make a move on her, and a variety of other clarifications she makes for him that he just brushes aside or ignores.

Kvothe will often state a fact and almost immediately the reader will be met with proof to the contrary.

Secondly

This is where I first noticed many readers did not pay attention to Denna either. With many readers coming in here complaining of Denna dragging Kvothe along and playing hard to get and such. When she clearly states anything but. And the reader believe's Kvothe's obviously wrong assumptions instead of what Denna told him directly and/or Evidence to the contrary.

Seriously. I am astounded ANYONE would believe Denna is NOT head over heels in love with Kvothe or DAMNED freaking close to it. It is drastically obvious she is, and she nearly spells it out for him and us readers every time she is on the page. Anyone who pays attention to the first 1/2 of their interactions in book 1 can see if anything she puts in 3 times the effort and time he does towards their relationship/friendship.

That was the part that first made me realize. Readers really do blindly believe Kvothe without paying too much attention to the structure of the sentences. They take his word as fact and law and ignore every other piece of information in front of

Factor analysis is commonly used to determine the factors driving returns (an early example is Fama-French factor models...). The methodology for this is to perform univariate or multiple regression which is something I see in a lot of text books on quant finance.

For example:

• Say you have 10 years of daily return data for your trading strategy,
• I want to do a 1-year rolling factor attribution against variables X1, X2, and X3 (which are different sector indexes),
• I perform a rolling multiple-regression with a 1-year lookback window by regression the return data on X1, X2 and X3.
• The result you see is the coefficients of the independent variables changing over time

But my question is... why do people use multiple-regression for factor attribution analysis when financial data violates basically all of the multiple-regression assumptions?

The multiple-regression assumptions are:

1. The relationship between Y and independent variables (X1, X2, X3...) is linear. This is violated sometimes as relationships can be linear and non-linear, and relationships change over time...
2. The independent variables (X1, X2, X3...) have no exact linear relationship between two or more of the independent variables. This is violated as these relationships change over time (they may be uncorrelated in one period and correlated in another)...
3. The expected value of the error term is 0. This is violated as financial data (in this case, return data) is non-normal, fat tailed and skewed, and the error term expected value is basically never zero...
4. The variance of the error term is the same for all observations. This is violated. Financial return data often show heteroskedasticity...
5. The error term is uncorrelated across observations. This is violated as there exists an auto-correlation structure in financial asset returns...
6. The error term is normally distributed. This is violated, financial return data is non-normal.

So given all this,

1. Why do people use multiple-regression for factor analysis?
2. What are some more robust alternatives that accommodate the wild characteristics of financial market data?

Thanks!

There are plenty of high risk children/teens/young adults

The solution isn’t to accept millions dead to restart the DOW

I’ve heard that phrase being thrown around a ton, but I never quite understood what it was.

From my understanding, the way a person is raised affects his or her behavior in different environments and situations. But that’s surely just the tip of the iceberg. What’s the rest of it?

I don't know who started to think that ALL people somehow want to do something with thier life. I just want to live. Doesn't matter what i do on this earth. It will be long gone and won't matter. And no i don't want "people to remember me" since i won't feel it. Where is the reward of having "people remembering you"?