California
D+38.3
Hawaii
D+34.2
New York
D+29.4
Delaware
D+20.0
Vermont
D+18.9
Maryland
D+18.6
Rhode Island
D+18.0
Washington
D+12.9
Connecticut
D+12.2
Minnesota
D+11.8
Oregon
D+11.6
New Jersey
D+9.9
Massachusetts
D+9.5
Illinois
D+8.9
New Mexico
D+6.5
Virginia
D+6.2
Colorado
D+5.5
Michigan
D+4.6
Pennsylvania
D+4.0
Maine
D+2.9
Wisconsin
D+0.5
New Hampshire
D+0.1
0%--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------0%
Florida
R+1.9
Missouri
R+3.5
Nevada
R+3.7
West Virginia
R+5.0
North Carolina
R+5.1
Montana
R+5.6
Ohio
R+7.4
Indiana
R+7.8
Georgia
R+9.1
Arizona
R+9.8
Kentucky
R+10.2
Iowa
R+12.7
Texas
R+14.6
Louisiana
R+15.2
Alaska
R+15.5
South Carolina
R+16.5
Arkansas
R+16.1
Mississippi
R+17.3
Kansas
R+19.5
Nebraska
R+24.8
Tennessee
R+27.8
Alabama
R+29.6
Idaho
R+30.2
Oklahoma
R+31.5
North Dakota
R+33.3
Utah
R+34.9
South Dakota
R+35.5
Wyoming
R+43.0
I have done that before, now with Texas Covid cases, abortion ban, and now the voting restrictions bill. May end up cost Abbott's reelection. With women voter turnout. Let's say the Texas Democrats regain the Texas legislature In order to pass major changes to Texas.
McConaughey(Independent): Orange
Dan Crenshaw(Republican): Red
Julian Castro(Democrat): Blue
Kyle Biedermann(TEXIT): Black
LORE: McConaughey elected in 2022 in an upset victory against the incumbent Greg Abbott and Democrat Beto O'Rourke. Under Governor, Mcconaughey repealed the voter suppression laws, decriminalize Cannabis, Increase border security, strengthening gun rights for self-defense, investing renewable energy, and more. By-Election day, McConaughey wins reelection over Dan Crenshaw and Julian Castro by around 51% of the vote.
https://preview.redd.it/1s5y2ecz0z071.jpg?width=700&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e73028f727f4d956a6b07a3c0fc8d58990e062b2
LORE: McConaughey's second term as Governor saw the Texas Central Railway completed on time and drew massive crowds. His approval rating at around 80%. Despite this, the TEXIT party gains some inroads in the Panhandle and East Texas regions due to McConaughey's investment in renewable energy such as solar panels and wind turbines which end up lose support. Term limits to Governorship changed from unlimited to just two terms. McConaughey's Indpendent party would renamed to the Conservative party of Texas as some Republicans would up join the new party. All good things must come to an end in late 2029, McConaughey would not run for third term due to term limits set up earlier. This caused power struggle between two prominent figures, podcast host and comedian Joe Rogan and Dallas Mavericks owner Mark Cuban. Rogan won the Conservative party nominee, but due to his past controversial remarks while being podcast host. Rogan lost to a Houston Congresswoman name of Lizzie Fletcher of the Democratic Party, becoming the first Democrat to win the gubernatorial election by around 48% of the vote.
https://preview.redd.it/wmzpxqj83c171.jpg?width=700&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=58444056a80fd787c01dcc154b49e36ccad5fb60
Vote for Anthony (American Anthonyist Unilateral Absolute Monarchism Party) as Texas Governor to expand the Anthonyist World Order!!!!
Part of a polling series for elections with margin of victory of less than 5% in 2018, plus the governorship.
Of the candidates presented, who would be favored to win?
What would happen if Greg Abbott lost the gubernatorial election to Julián Castro or some other democrat. Maybe Matthew McConaughey decides to run the gubernatorial election, causing vote splitting to favor the Dems to win in 2022.
The election was considered a toss-up due to Ann Richards having high approval ratings and Bush's socially conservative views. What if come election day Ann Richards won re-election rather than losing to Bush? What knock on effects would this have?
In what may be one of the most important gubernatorial elections in Texas history, Republican Jack Webb Washington will be running against Democrat Sylvester Turner as Independent Beto O'Rourke challenges them both. Sylvester Turner is running on a platform of nationalistic pro-Texan progressivism while Washington is running a nationalistic pro-Texas nativist conservative campaign. Turner has the edge however there is the fear that Beto will be a spoiler candidate. He is polling at 3% according to the aggregate with some putting him as high as 5% and others as low as 0.5%.
Sylvester Turner 50%
Jack Webb Washington 47%
Beto O'Rourke 3%
Around 2017, the Texas Republican Party remained embroiled in a political civil war of sorts. One half of the party obstructed most legislation in favor of the conservative policy. The other opposition favored some form of widespread ethical reform.
The Texas Protest Movement has more or less cannibalized these two factions. This new faction has also stated its position to unseat Greg Abbott and the few remaining federal hardliners in the state.
Even is Greg somehow manages to retain his seat, there's a strong chance the State Senate will move to get rid of him next year.
The Republicans are scrambling to rebrand themselves as they all struggle to disassociate themselves with Trump and the Federal government. However that is not to say some candidates do not embody Donald Trump's ideology-such as Jack Webb Washington-even he dares not associate himself with Trump. He is running a xenophobic campaign that espouses Texan unique values and vows to protect Texan interests even in the face of the federal government and that "communist in the White House". He is also running a hardline pro gun platform. Laura Bush has dropped out and endorsed Cruz as Cruz is running as a Texan political veteran with experience and a track record of conservative values. He is running a very religious campaign as well to get conservative Christian voters. He is a unionist however he promises not to bend to Bernie's will. On the Democratic side, Beto O'Rourke is challenging Sylvester Turner as a hardline anti-gun progressive who wants to ban semi-automatic weapons and do a mandatory buyback in the wake of mass shootings across the country. He is a unionist who chastises progressives who buy into the "right wing secessionist" movement. Going into the primaries, the Democratic candidates are polling at
Beto O'Rourke: 21% (reroll if he gets a nat 20 or 21)
Sylvester Turner: 79%
For the Republicans
Jack Webb Washington: 60%
Ted Cruz: 40%
McConnell said among other things: “I’m very optimistic. We have 50 Republican senators. I know what a real minority looks like. We had 40 after President Obama got elected. And so I think the wind is going to be at our back in both the House and Senate. I think there’s a great likelihood of a pretty good election next year.” Referring to his old age McConnell noted he has been around for a while: 71% of the American people say we’re going in the wrong direction, I don’t remember 71 percent wrong track before.”
House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy similarly has been asserting he thinks it’s possible House Republicans pick up 60 or more seats. [This midterm election year, all 435 seats are up for grab.]
There are 34 U.S. Senate seats up for regular election in 2022—14 seats held by Democrats and 20 held by Republicans.
Is this outlook a little over the top for the Republicans. Does their confident predictions overlook the fact that there are presently 20 Republican seats up for re-election next year while only 14 Democratic seats are up for grabs?
What would Governor O'rourke look like?
https://preview.redd.it/fllqxhn07w071.jpg?width=772&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3be25d8591b05a1c2c80bfca2cb268f2bf7caefe
Republican: Abbot(Red)
Democrat: O'Rourke(Blue)
Independent: McConaughey(Purple)
McConaughey would win at around 35% to 40% of the vote.
For some reason, Beto O'Rourke defeats Greg Abbott in the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election. How would realistically affect Texas as a whole? What would life be like? What would society be like? What would politics be like?
Part of a polling series for elections with margin of victory of less than 5% in 2018, plus the governorship.
Of the candidates presented, who would be favored to win?
