Context: The Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko has invited tens of thousands of desperate migrants from the Middle East and Africa to use his country's border with Poland (EU) as a gateway to Europe and to cross the border to Europe illegally. He is using the migrants to punish Europe for having posed sanctions on him previously. Why is that a punishment? Because Europe generally does not want any more migrants since the refugee crisis of 2015. The situation at the border has been tense for several months now with the migrants being desperate and trying to break the border, but being held back by Polish military, who are ordered by their government, to not let a single person in. Thus migrants are being used as a political weapon, which directly increases diplomatic tensions.
More detailed info about Belarusian-European Union border crisis
Now all of this is causing lots of political tensions between the EU vs. Belarus and Russia already. Even Russia is involved, as it seems to back Belarus in its purposefully instigated refugee crisis. Several of the countries, which most of these refugees originate from are conflict-ridden and unstable, such as Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria. Especially in Syria, one of the main factors, that lead to its conflict and resulting decline was climate change.
The most commonly accepted projection for climate refugees is 150–200 million by 2050. Now, the European Migrant Crisis of 2015, which caused the European political climate to dampen so much in the past years, with rippeling effects even on global politics, involved an influx of 1.3 million migrants at its height in 2015, with most of them fleeing from the war in Syria...
Thus, when it comes to the huge migration waves, that will be caused by climate change in the coming decades we are really in for humanitarian desasters and political turmoil on a scale, we cannot yet imagine.
As if there weren't enough bullish factors in place already for a huge run-up in precious metals, geopolitical risk rears its ugly head. Brothers in Europe, I hope to God saner heads prevail, but "woke" militaries don't seem to deter ruthless SOBs like Putin.
A military invasion of Ukraine by Russian forces could be imminent, the White House warned its allies in Europe on Thursday.
The United States is concerned that Russia may take aggressive action amid tensions over the Belarusian-Polish border and an increasingly tenuous situation with Europe's natural gas supply.
Fears of a possible military operation were partially sparked by a buildup of Russian firepower at its border with Ukraine, Bloomberg first reported.
